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Will the official death toll of the Chinese Earthquake exceed 60,000?

Voided

As of 5/22/08 the death toll stands at 51,151. Will the death toll surpass 60,000?
 
% chance over time
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Voided

Yes
60%
No
40%
Fri 23rd May 4:02am PDT
Reason: Inaccurate initial likelihoods and gaming activity
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Fri 13th Jun 12:59am PDT

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Thu 22nd May 9:15am PDT by inessa21
Suspended Fri 23rd May 3:29am PDT by lesley[Admin]: Investigating suspicious activity
Voided Fri 23rd May 4:02am PDT by lesley[Admin]: Inaccurate initial likelihoods and gaming activity
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

12 weeks ago
ampersand predicted No (H$100 at 17%)
12 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted No (H$15 at 16%)
12 weeks ago
wyrm predicted Yes (H$100 at 84%)
12 weeks ago
bigmikelewis predicted No (H$100 at 16%)
12 weeks ago
cookietime predicted No (H$20 at 15%)
more

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