Created Thu 22nd May 11:28am PDT by 
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Will any storm during the 2008 Hurricane season be so severe that its name is then retired?
Current forecast: 79% chance 
40%
40%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 79% likely to happen (up 40% in last 1 day)
The NHC/TPC does not control the naming of tropical storms. Instead, a list of names has been established by an international committee of the World Meteorological Organization. For Atlantic hurricanes, there is actually one list for each of six years. In other words, one list is repeated every seventh year. The only time that there is a change is if a storm is so deadly or costly that the future use of its name on a different storm would be inappropriate for obvious reasons of sensitivity. If that occurs, then at an annual meeting by the committee (called primarily to discuss many other issues) the offending name is stricken from the list and another name is selected to replace it.
There is an exception to the retirement rule, however. Before 1979, when the first permanent six-year storm name list began, some storm names were simply not used anymore. For example, in 1966, "Fern" was substituted for "Frieda," and no reason was cited.
NOAA Retired Names
Market refers to 2008 November Hurricane Season which ends on November 30th
There is an exception to the retirement rule, however. Before 1979, when the first permanent six-year storm name list began, some storm names were simply not used anymore. For example, in 1966, "Fern" was substituted for "Frieda," and no reason was cited.
NOAA Retired Names
Market refers to 2008 November Hurricane Season which ends on November 30th
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
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Activity: H$207,337
Question suspends in 1 week
Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 7%
Action history:
Created Thu 22nd May 11:28am PDT by valornhonor
valornhonor
Clarified Wed 10th Sep 2:06am PDT by 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: Market refers to 2008 November Hurricane Season which ends on November 30th
ryanj: Market refers to 2008 November Hurricane Season which ends on November 30th
Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)
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score: 10
Reuters Canada 1 week ago
all that were left of the storm that came ashore in southeastern Cuba on Saturday evening as a Category 3 hurricane with 120 mph winds. Both services agreed that winds high in the atmosphere were tearing Paloma apart. The U.S. hurricane center said the
score: 10
Reuters UK 1 week ago
all that were left of the storm that came ashore in southeastern Cuba on Saturday evening as a Category 3 hurricane with 120 mph (193 kph) winds. The U.S. hurricane centre said the storm was moving at just 2 mph (3 kph) and it had dropped tropical storm
score: 10
Reuters South Africa 1 week ago
over Cuba on Sunday, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said. Paloma had strengthened to an 'extremely dangerous' Category 4 hurricane with 140 mile per hour (225 km per hour) winds as it passed through the Cayman Islands but came ashore in southeastern
score: 10
Washington Post 1 week ago
HAVANA, Nov. 8 -- Paloma slammed into southern Cuba as an extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane Saturday, while authorities scrambled to evacuate hundreds of thousands of people and protect crops on an island still reeling from two other devastating
score: 10
International Herald Tribune 1 week ago
Paloma had strengthened to an 'extremely dangerous' Category 4 hurricane with 140 mile per hour (225 km per hour) winds as it passed through the Cayman Islands but came ashore in southeastern Cuba as a Category 3 hurricane
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valornhonor
59% of previous questions settled successfully
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162 settled, 114 voided
Regarding your question about the Hurricane committee, I had the same kind of question in my mind when I was building this marketplace... Within the background information is an indication that I think addresses this uncertainty..."If that occurs, then at an annual meeting by the committee (called primarily to discuss many other issues) the offending name is stricken from the list and another name is selected to replace it."...I think the committee would address this prospect quickly rather than let it languish for an extended period of time, and if these meetings are annual, there really doesn't seem to be much of a prospect for multiple years to go by.
I am guessing that each group will manage their name lists differently, but I don't know this for certain.
this was released on may 14, so it may not settle until next may, unless it is just a REALLY slow season.
Oh, well...
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