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By Thanksgiving will the Senate seat held by Edward Kennedy still be held by a Kennedy?

Suspended

Suspend date reached

Background:

There are several ways this could solve for YES...If Edward Kennedy still has his Senate seat on Thanksgiving, or if his wife has the seat, or if one of his relatives has this seat. Any other outcome would solve for a No.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Suspended

Yes
97%
No
3%
Activity: H$104,061
Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended

Suspend date: Yesterday 11:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 45%

Action history:

Created Thu 22nd May 2:45pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Clarified Fri 23rd May 8:25am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: I've edited the market question to shorten it up a bit and make it a bit nicer on the eyes.
Suspended Yesterday 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Suspend date: Yesterday 11:59pm PST
more info...

 

Predictions (112)

112 predictions

15 hours ago
emmag predicted Yes (H$200 at 97%)
15 hours ago
jsevigny predicted Yes (H$100 at 97%)
2 days ago
greyarea predicted Yes (H$20 at 95%)
2 days ago
ollieg predicted Yes (H$100 at 95%)
2 days ago
crowe predicted Yes (H$2,000 at 95%)
more

Comments (9)

  1 jake
This question needs clarification. Does a spouse count or does it need to be a Kennedy by blood?
posted 25 weeks ago
@ jake, please refer to the background line below the question... "...or if his wife has his seat, or one of his relatives..."
posted 25 weeks ago
  3 jake
Sorry about that.
posted 25 weeks ago
  4 randburg
This question suspends "almost" three months before settlement date? Really?
posted 13 weeks ago
  5 destry[Admin]
Suspend date moved to 7 days before Thanksgiving in accordance with Hubdub rules.
posted 13 weeks ago
Thank you Destry
posted 13 weeks ago
  8 curios
so what you are all saying he will be dead or retired
posted 9 weeks ago
  9 curios
needs editing if not voided? in bad taste, by the word or between kennedy and still
posted 9 weeks ago

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