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Will Florida be hit by a hurricane in 2008?

Settled as No

This season hasn't had any hurricane strength landfall in Florida

Background:

Background: This year Florida still hasn't been hit by a hurricane. For a state that's intrinsically connected to the hurricane season, she's gotten off quite lucky so far. There were some very close hits and Florida has sustained damage from wind and flooding due to tropical storms but no hurricanes have yet to hit.

It seems each time a hurricane forms in the Atlantic this markets odds go up only to be brought down once again as the storm enters the gulf. But luck doesn't continue forever and it's almost an assured thing that by the end of the season something nasty will hit, then again maybe luck does last forever or at least until the end of the hurricane season.

Statistically Florida usually gets hit in September and October so those two months are the ones to watch the satellite maps!

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. The Hurricane must make landfall as a hurricane. Outlying islands (Key West) do count for settlement

 
Forecast history %
Yes
2%
No
98%
Settled as No on Mon 1st Dec 2008 4:47am PST

Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 2008 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Mon 1st Dec 2008 4:47am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 30th Nov 2008 7:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Thu 22nd May 2008 7:55pm PST by stockpicker
Suspended Sun 30th Nov 2008 7:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 1st Dec 2008 12:50am PST by orlin: No
Settled as 'No' Mon 1st Dec 2008 4:47am PST by ryanj: This season hasn't had any hurricane strength landfall in Florida

Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 2008 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Mon 1st Dec 2008 4:47am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 30th Nov 2008 7:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (175)

50 weeks ago
codfight predicted No (H$100 at 98%)
51 weeks ago
destry[Admin] predicted No (H$6,000 at 97%)
51 weeks ago
destry[Admin] predicted No (H$9,001 at 95%)
1 year ago
blue23 predicted No (H$50 at 94%)
1 year ago
kearnsdm predicted Yes (H$100 at 9%)

Comments (3)

  1 frank2877
Florida is a hurricane magnet! Bet the farm! :-)
posted 1 year ago
LOL - Yeah... that is what they say every year!
posted 1 year ago
  3 pixelpaws
For anyone betting this question up due to Hurricane Paloma, take a look at the NHC's wind probability map. There's no portion of Florida currently showing a 5% chance of being hit.
posted 1 year ago

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