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Will Toronto councillor, Rob Ford, run for mayor next election?

Current forecast: 51% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 51% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

This election will likely happen in 2010.
Rob Ford is a controversial figure.
See him in action here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z8EpSdyB0zY


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
51%
No
49%
Activity: H$1,031
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Thu 24th Jun 2010 12:59am PDT (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 22nd May 10:16pm PDT by mork[Power User]

Suspend date: Thu 24th Jun 2010 12:59am PDT (1 year to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (20)

20 predictions

3 weeks ago
growthy predicted Yes (H$50 at 51%)
10 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted Yes (H$100 at 51%)
24 weeks ago
derekkraan predicted Yes (H$100 at 51%)
24 weeks ago
timkraan predicted No (H$20 at 49%)
25 weeks ago
huskerfan predicted No (H$50 at 49%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 jakob
Well, judging from that video - I'm not quite sure what he's going to do in 2010 ...
posted 26 weeks ago
  2 randburg
Wellllllllllll. I hmmmmmmmmmmm....Didn't the reporter describe him rather well...?
posted 26 weeks ago
  3 bcguelph
The guy is a jerk, and like most jerk he doesn't know he's a jerk. However, I think even a jerk knows what the public think of him. He'll not run.

But what fun if he did!!
posted 25 weeks ago
  4 mork[Power User]
@ bcguelph - This guy certainly is a jerk. That`s why I wanted to post this question video more than two years in advance.
Yesterday I read a recent report quoting him as saying that he intends to run.

Now that the charges of assaulting his wife have been dropped, I am afraid he may have a renewed sense of entitlement.
posted 25 weeks ago

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