Created Fri 23rd May 9:49pm PDT by

Will British or French warships be permitted to drop off supplies to Burma/Myanmar this week?

Settled as Neither Deliver

The change in the Burmese generals' hardline position on access came after a meeting on Friday between UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon and Burma's senior general, Than Shwe.

After talks in Burma's remote capital, Nay Pyi Daw, Mr Ban said Burma would now allow the delivery of aid "via civilian ships and small boats".

But his wording suggested that the US, British and French warships waiting off the coast with supplies may not be able to dock.

Correspondents say Burma has a record of withdrawing promises made to the UN, and aid agencies are waiting to hear how these new arrangements will work in practice.

<a href='http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7418206.stm'>http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7418206.stm<;/a>

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
This week refers to Saturday, May 24 to Saturday, May 31
'Succeed' refers to successfully delivery supplies to the country of Myanmar by any means possible, including the transferring of the supplies off-shore.

Forecast history, %

Zoom in

Settled

British and French Succeed

British or French Succeed

10%

Neither Deliver

81%

Activity: H$11,067

Settled as Neither Deliver on Mon 2nd Jun 10:23am PDT

Suspend date: Sat 31st May 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 2nd Jun 10:23am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st May 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: British and French Succeed: 24%, British or French Succeed : 8%, Neither Deliver: 68%

Action history:

Created Fri 23rd May 9:49pm PDT by

mork

Suspended Sat 31st May 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Mon 2nd Jun 5:23am PDT by