
Before the Convention, will CNN report that Clinton allegedly blackmailed Obama for cash?
Settlement details:
For this to settle as "YES" it must be reported by CNN that Hillary allegedly blackmails Barack for cash.
Any alleged non-cash blackmail(s) would settle as "NO" unless it directly/indirectly results in financial compensation for Hillary
Ex: Gainful employment, financial contributions from a third person/party, etc.
Market refers to DNC Convention
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Sun 24th Aug 1:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 26th Aug 12:22pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 24th Aug 1:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%
Action history:
Suspend date: Sun 24th Aug 1:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 26th Aug 12:22pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 24th Aug 1:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (42)
42 predictions
Comments (13)
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34 settled, 15 voided




However, in the referenced question
http://www.hubdub.com/m7179/Will_Barack_Obama_pay_off_Hillary_Clintons_election_debts
the comments suggest that it is not uncommon for the opponent to help pay off some of the debt (at least through their donors or the party), so would that be considered blackmail?
I think it is in bad taste to post Ryans email, especially with no reference to the question he is talking about.
The private e-mails from administrators should not be used to reflect hubdub policy since the hubdub policy itself is posted on this web-site.
Secondly, I am glad to say that hubdub has increased the allowable characters of a question to more than 90 (100 last I checked) I hope that the question creators continue to utilize this space before resorting to the language of instant messaging.
Sorry fingers, although I still think it is in bad taste. lol.
I think the starting odds of the original question were off. IMHO I think it very unlikely for Hillary to try to Extort money from Obama.
It's not terribly uncommon for news to report off the wall claims. One day on NPR they interviewed a person from the UN Security Counsel concerning her claims that the AIDS Virus was designed by white rich men to reduce the African population worldwide. NPR wouldn't give just ANYONE a chance to make those claims, but they decided her credible enough of a person to allow her to make her case.
Another wacky (but possible) example is this: <http://my.barackobama.com/page/community/post/herbschaffler/gGBTrn> and this <http://www.theconservativevoice.com/article/31889.html> I highly doubt that Hillary is using private detectives to dig up dirt on super delegates in order to blackmail them, and I highly doubt that CNN would report this, but if some activist or community leader claimed this to be the case, CNN just might report it as a possibility if the individual makes a halfway coherent case.
So, back to this question: There are already conspiracy theories parallel to what this question asks... for this to settle as YES, CNN needs to report it, but for CNN to report it there would either be evidence uncovered that suggests she blackmails him for cash, or a very public and respected individual accusing her of doing so.
Although these transactions have been going on probably as long as politics has, I think the question is: Do 10 percent of us believe that the media (CNN in this case) will stoop so low as to report that any post-campaign assistance of Hillary from Obama is based on something sinister as opposed to just a somewhat routine political deal.
I think these contributions are normal when two contendors are from the same political party. The standards of mainstream media seems to be getting ever lower and stranger things have happened.
I feel you have a good market here fingers. And interesting too.
do you mean off the deep end a little, or straight to hell like FOXNEWS?
"One source close to a major donor said: “It’s not about the vice-presidency or any other position she might get. It’s about the money – in particular the Clinton family money.” The Obama campaign might have to reach deeply into its well-stocked coffers in order to secure the full support of Mrs Clinton and her husband Bill in the November general election."
(emphasis mine) http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/foreign/tobyharnden/june2008/cashtalks.htm
The first user posted comment on this article is particularily interesting:
"Pay to Play with someone elses money?
She stays in the race against overwhelming odds with her own money and now she wants someone else to foot the bill? Amazing.
So she is basically going to blackmail the party; she stays in the race unless the Democratic party pays her bills. Yes, it is all about the Clintons, their greed and selfishness." (Once again, emphasis mine)
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