
Will The CFTC agree to license and regulate real-money Prediction Markets?
1%With the exception of the academic Iowa Electronic Market, there are no legal, real-money public Prediction Markets operating in the US. Will this public-input process lead to the licensing and regulation of new markets in Event/Prediction Contracts? Will Intrade, Betfair or other non-US exchanges open US-based operations? Will existing options/futures markets begin offering trading in Event/Prediction Contracts?
Further discussion and background can be found at http://groups.google.com/group/Prediction-Markets
Settlement details:
Legal, public, real-money trading by US citizens/residents on US-based markets (either new or existing) on Event Contracts to actually take place (as opposed to merely being planned) by the end of 2009, as reported by CFTC in public release(s) on their website (http://www.cftc.gov/).
Make your prediction!
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%
Action history:
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
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Predictions (13)
13 predictions
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