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Will riots ensue in Kathmandu? (This week)

Settled as Yes

Authorities in the Nepalese capital, Kathmandu, have banned rallies and mass meetings in strategic areas.

The prohibition comes into force two days before Nepal's newly-elected assembly is expected to meet to declare the country a republic.

Venues covered by the ban include the palace of King Gyanendra, the hall where the assembly will sit, and the residence of the prime minister.

The aim is to frustrate protests planned before the vote.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/7419772.stm


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source dated before June 1, 2008

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
18%
No
82%
Activity: H$30,989
Settled as Yes on Sat 31st May 12:14pm PDT

Suspend date: Fri 30th May 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 31st May 12:14pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 30th May 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Mon 26th May 8:08am PDT by mork[Power User]
Suspended Fri 30th May 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Suspended Fri 30th May 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 31st May 5:49am PDT by curios: New flag flies in Kathmandu



25 protesters injured in clashes with police near palace of dethroned king as republic is launched

May 30, 2008 04:30 AM
Settled as 'No' Sat 31st May 12:13pm PDT by lesley[Admin]
Previous action withdrawn Sat 31st May 12:14pm PDT by lesley[Admin]
Settled as 'Yes' Sat 31st May 12:14pm PDT by lesley[Admin]

Suspend date: Fri 30th May 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 31st May 12:14pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 30th May 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (58)

58 predictions

25 weeks ago
solar predicted No (H$100 at 83%)
25 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted No (H$100 at 51%)
25 weeks ago
youbet predicted No (H$1,000 at 50%)
25 weeks ago
timkraan predicted No (H$20 at 48%)
25 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted No (H$635 at 48%)
more

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