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Which sport will receive the most votes for addition to the 2016 Summer Olympics?

Settled as Rugby

Rugby sevens was added by an 81-8 vote. Golf was added by at 63-27 vote.
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/sport/medal-hopes-rise-as-golf-and-rugby-join-the-olympics-20091011-grr1.html

Background:

Background: The International Olympic Committee has notified the world governing bodies of seven sports that they will be considered for inclusion into the 2016 Summer Olympics. The sports are baseball and softball, which were dropped from the 2012 program, golf and rugby, which were contested at previous Olympics, karate, roller sports and squash. Unless a current sport is dropped, there is only room for two new sports. In October 2009, the IOC will decide the final schedule for 2016 during its Copenhagen session. http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/04/25/sports/OLY-New-Olympic-Sports.php'>http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/04/25/sports/OLY-New-Olympic-Sports.php<;/a>'>http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/04/25/sports/OLY-New-Olympic-Sports.php<;'>http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/04/25/sports/OLY-New-Olympic-Sports.php<;;/a>

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Softball
9%
Squash
8%
Rugby
20%
Roller sports
1%
Karate
3%
Golf
38%
Baseball
9%
Tie between two or more sports
12%
Settled as Rugby on Sun 11th Oct 4:43pm PST

Suspend date: Wed 30th Sep 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 11th Oct 4:43pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 30th Sep 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Softball: 20%, Squash: 5%, Rugby: 20%, Roller sports: 5%, Karate: 5%, Golf: 20%, Baseball: 20%, Tie between two or more sports: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 27th May 2008 2:57pm PST by onedave[Power User]
Settlement requested Thu 24th Sep 4:48am PST by keyeshoveden[Power User]: wasn't this announced ages ago?
Suspended Wed 30th Sep 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 11th Oct 10:33am PST by onedave[Power User]: Please settle as 'rugby.' Rugby sevens was added by an 81-8 vote. Golf was added by at 63-27 vote. (See paragraph 5).
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/sport/medal-hopes-rise-as-golf-and-rugby-join-the-olympics-20091011-grr1.html
Settled as 'Rugby' Sun 11th Oct 4:43pm PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: Rugby sevens was added by an 81-8 vote. Golf was added by at 63-27 vote.
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/sport/medal-hopes-rise-as-golf-and-rugby-join-the-olympics-20091011-grr1.html

Suspend date: Wed 30th Sep 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 11th Oct 4:43pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 30th Sep 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (64)

7 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted Rugby (H$500 at 16%)
7 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted Tie between two or more sports (H$500 at 8%)
7 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted Golf (H$2,000 at 33%)
7 weeks ago
pureklaas predicted Rugby (H$220 at 18%)
7 weeks ago
aland predicted Squash (H$50 at 14%)

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