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Will there be Election for Bundestag ahead of schedule in 2008 ?

Current forecast: 19% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 19% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Germanys goverment is ruled by a coalition of conservativ and socialists. Currently there are some difference appearing to a crisis. Official Elections would be in Summer 2009. http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/0,1518,555750,00.html'>http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/0,1518,555750,00.html<;/a>


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
19%
No
81%
Activity: H$5,060
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Tue 27th May 10:05pm PDT by questmaster

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (10)

10 predictions

1 week ago
horatiomonty predicted No (H$4,000 at 78%)
3 weeks ago
csnews predicted No (H$100 at 76%)
7 weeks ago
csnews predicted No (H$100 at 76%)
8 weeks ago
deadparrot predicted No (H$50 at 76%)
11 weeks ago
agent predicted No (H$20 at 76%)
more

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