Created Wed 28th May 10:40am PDT by
bcguelph
All questions » Science » Natural Disasters » 
Will there be more than 200 deaths by tornado in the US in 2008?
Current forecast: 13% chance

Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 13% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Death toll from tornadoes in 2008 is already 110; average is 62 for a whole year
2008 fatalities already highest in a decade, with the year less than half over
Numbers of tornadoes also above average in early months of this year
Deadliest year since organized records began is 1953, with 519 deaths
http://www.cnn.com/2008/TECH/science/05/28/tornado.year/index.html
2008 fatalities already highest in a decade, with the year less than half over
Numbers of tornadoes also above average in early months of this year
Deadliest year since organized records began is 1953, with 519 deaths
http://www.cnn.com/2008/TECH/science/05/28/tornado.year/index.html
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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Activity: H$122,955
Question suspends in 5 weeks
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Wed 28th May 10:40am PDT by
bcguelph
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
more info...
Predictions (137)
137 predictions
Comments (6)
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score: 10
The Times 5 days ago
Forget about the central heating and pullovers summer seems to have returned with some remarkably mild weather across the UK in the past 24 hours. Much of Scotland enjoyed an amazingly balmy night with temperatures dropping to only 12C (54F), even across
score: 10
score: 10
IOL 6 days ago
a two-year-old girl who was presumed safe in her home before it collapsed on top of her. Freak weather patterns on Friday saw heavy hail in parts of Hillcrest and Pinetown and torrential downpours in Durban, but the few minutes of gale-force winds
score: 10
The Times 6 days ago
Forget about the central heating and pullovers summer seems to have returned with some remarkably mild weather across the UK in the past 24 hours. Much of Scotland enjoyed an amazingly balmy night with temperatures dropping to only 12C (54F), even across
score: 10
TMC Net 1 week ago
warning was in effect until 3:45 p.m. No tornado had been spotted on the ground. National Weather Service forecasters say there could be fierce storms during your commute and through the rest of the evening, including large hail and damaging winds.
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http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/torn/monthlytornstats.html
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