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Will ex-Bush aide, Scott Mclellan die, go missing, or be charged for crime before August?

Settled as No

May 28 (Bloomberg) -- Former White House press secretary Scott McClellan says in a memoir that President George W. Bush manipulated public opinion through a ``political propaganda campaign'' to justify going to war in Iraq.

http://tinyurl.com/5qom83

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
1%
No
99%
Activity: H$41,259
Settled as No on Fri 1st Aug 6:18am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Mon 28th Jul 8:59am PDT

Settlement date: Fri 1st Aug 6:18am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 28th Jul 8:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 28th May 2:53pm PDT by mork[Power User]
Suspended Mon 28th Jul 8:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 31st Jul 10:23pm PDT by orlin: No such reports
Settled as 'No' Fri 1st Aug 6:18am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Nothing to indicate any of the above has occurred
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (53)

53 predictions

4 weeks ago
rootehound predicted No (H$800 at 99%)
4 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted No (H$10,000 at 98%)
4 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted No (H$10,000 at 97%)
5 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted No (H$100 at 94%)
5 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted No (H$3,000 at 94%)
more

Comments (6)

  1 dieseldog
if this was the clinton admin i would bet the house on yes.
posted 13 weeks ago
  2 Erik
Indeed, dieseldog....perhaps he'd "commit suicide"
posted 13 weeks ago
  3 cognos[Power User]
maybe, but then we'd just have to check out 2 ranchs. One in Crawford, Texas, and the other in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
posted 13 weeks ago
  4 Erik
*chucles*...cognos, I was referring to Vince Foster
posted 13 weeks ago
  5 frank2877
dieseldog, You beat me to that one :-)
posted 13 weeks ago
If it were "by December" I might wager 'yes'. Because that's when Scott will no longer be useful - after the election. You know, the election between Obama and Bush.
posted 13 weeks ago

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