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Who will star as Bilbo Baggins in the Hobbit?

Current forecast: James McAvoy. (71% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is James McAvoy. with a probability of 71% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Perez Hilton is reporting that James McAvoy will star in the prequel to the Lord of the Rings, the Hobbit. Other names being mentioned for the film are Daniel Radcliffe and Jack Black. But sources reporting to Hilton are saying that McAvoy is the favorite. The movie begins filming in New Zealand later this year. Source: perezhilton McAvoy is Scottish!!!!!!!!!
 
Forecast history, %
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James McAvoy.
71%
Daniel Radcliffe
11%
Jack Black
7%
Someone Else
11%
Activity: H$2,297
Question suspends in 17 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (17 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: James McAvoy.: 60%, Daniel Radcliffe: 15%, Jack Black: 10%, Someone Else: 15%

Action history:

Created Thu 29th May 2:51pm PDT by punditwatch[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (15)

15 predictions

5 weeks ago
canucksfan9 predicted James McAvoy. (H$5 at 71%)
7 weeks ago
destry[Admin] predicted James McAvoy. (H$1,200 at 67%)
7 weeks ago
jlew1122 predicted James McAvoy. (H$50 at 64%)
8 weeks ago
almondjoy predicted Jack Black (H$20 at 8%)
8 weeks ago
longlive35mm predicted James McAvoy. (H$100 at 63%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 owl1
George Bush would be perfect for Bilbo. I'll bet he's even got hairy toes.
posted 12 weeks ago
  2 ryanb37
I had a source tell me that they are also in serious talks with daniel
posted 12 weeks ago

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