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Will somebody in the US be killed with an Axe on June Friday the 13th?

Settled as No

Although from Loren's article it appears a "axe strike" occurred, no killing did or could be found to have occurred.


Settlement details: As reported by any US news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
8%
No
92%
Activity: H$29,461
Settled as No on Sat 14th Jun 9:29am PDT

Suspend date: Fri 13th Jun 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 14th Jun 9:29am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 12th Jun 11:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%

Action history:

Created Thu 29th May 8:10pm PDT by jaspersoddity
Suspended Fri 13th Jun 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 14th Jun 1:32am PDT by orlin: There are no reports that an event responding to question's description occurred.
Settled as 'No' Sat 14th Jun 9:29am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Although from Loren's article it appears a "axe strike" occurred, no killing did or could be found to have occurred.

Suspend date: Fri 13th Jun 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 14th Jun 9:29am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 12th Jun 11:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (46)

46 predictions

24 weeks ago
pepe predicted No (H$100 at 87%)
24 weeks ago
youbet predicted No (H$100 at 86%)
24 weeks ago
that_pete_guy predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 11%)
24 weeks ago
that_pete_guy predicted No (H$1,000 at 91%)
24 weeks ago
questmaster predicted Yes (H$10 at 10%)
more

Comments (13)

  1 markov
This question is open to gaming since a Hubdub user could wager on it and then facilitate the outcome.
posted 26 weeks ago
  2 mork[Power User]
It shows Lesley put 200 on this one.
posted 26 weeks ago
Laughable!!! If a hubdubber does this to game the system, he would probably want us to know about it... an interview with babwa wawa where the murderer says he did it "for the fame and hubdub fortune of it all...

I think we can let this play out, it could be great headlines for hubdub....
posted 26 weeks ago
  4 markov
I was just concerned Hubdub might get sued for motivating an axe murder and then I couldn't play it any more.
posted 26 weeks ago
Point well taken, I can understand that! however unlikely, it's not worth the chance. I say good call!
posted 26 weeks ago
but, what if they just "threatened" somebody with an axe.... or if there were a reported sighting of someone "lugging an axe around"... or what if there was a reported outbreak of the new Zombie Axe Wielder Virus?
posted 26 weeks ago
  7 mork[Power User]
http://tinyurl.com/6jlqk8
posted 26 weeks ago
@tocm or what if they where just "Axing a question?"
posted 26 weeks ago
  9 markov
What if the media started calling it "The Hubdub Massacre"? I'll bet there would be a record number of hits on the site the first day that was published.
posted 26 weeks ago
@mork, based on the settlement of this question: http://www.hubdub.com/m8698, I'm curious whether Lesley invested in "Yes" or "No".

AAA 8^)

posted 25 weeks ago
13 Jun 2008
Priest's murder solved

"After his arrest, Nankau told police that he killed the priest with an axe, which was also recovered by the cops later."

<http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/Lucknow/Priests_murder_solved_2_held/articleshow/3124976.cms>
posted 24 weeks ago
  13 loren
More on this incident: http://ydr.inyork.com/ci_9576823
posted 24 weeks ago

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