Created Fri 30th May 2:20pm PDT by
mork
All questions » General » Tragedy » 
When will another U.S. or Canadian construction site suffer from another 'tower crane' collapse?
Current forecast: Later or Never (77% chance
1%)
1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Later or Never with a probability of 77% (up 1% in last 1 day)
USA Today - May 30,'08
Two construction workers died and one was critically injured after a construction crane collapsed Friday morning on New York's Upper East Side, smashing into a 23-story apartment building before crashing onto the street below.
It was the second deadly crane accident in 2½ months in the city, which is undergoing a building boom. In March, seven people were killed in a crane accident.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/2008-05-30-crane-newyork_N.htm
Two construction workers died and one was critically injured after a construction crane collapsed Friday morning on New York's Upper East Side, smashing into a 23-story apartment building before crashing onto the street below.
It was the second deadly crane accident in 2½ months in the city, which is undergoing a building boom. In March, seven people were killed in a crane accident.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/2008-05-30-crane-newyork_N.htm
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May/June 08 |
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July 08 |
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August 08 |
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Later or Never |
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Activity: H$31,141
Question suspends in 3 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Wed 24th Sep 12:59am PDT (3 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
May/June 08: 20%, July 08: 20%, August 08: 20%, September 08: 20%, Later or Never: 20%
Action history:
Created Fri 30th May 2:20pm PDT by
mork
Suspended Sat 31st May 5:13pm PDT by
skipper
: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Sat 31st May 5:13pm PDT by
skipper
: http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,361175,00.html
pretty sure it's a 'tower crane' as they are supposedly the biggest and can carry the most, and a crane that was 'the biggest' and could 'carry the most' was reported to have been moved there. (market suspended)
pretty sure it's a 'tower crane' as they are supposedly the biggest and can carry the most, and a crane that was 'the biggest' and could 'carry the most' was reported to have been moved there. (market suspended)
Settled as 'May/June 08' Sun 1st Jun 3:36am PDT by
diana: http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,361175,00.html
http://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/16446447/detail.html
http://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/16446447/detail.html
Previous action withdrawn Sun 1st Jun 2:05pm PDT by
lesley
: This was not a "tower crane". The market has been reopened and will only settle if/when a news story specifically refers to a "tower crane" collapsing.
Settlement requested Fri 18th Jul 1:35pm PDT by
cognos
: Please see:
http://www.khou.com/topstories/stories/khou080718_tnt_crane.6a3eeddc.html
http://www.khou.com/topstories/stories/khou080718_tnt_crane.6a3eeddc.html
Suspended Fri 18th Jul 2:17pm PDT by
newswrangler
: Flagged by super user:
Suspended pending review of settlement link (breaking news) -- and while awaiting news updates.
It is important that this accident be referred to as a TOWER crane accident.
Suspended pending review of settlement link (breaking news) -- and while awaiting news updates.
It is important that this accident be referred to as a TOWER crane accident.
Unsuspended Sat 19th Jul 1:48am PDT by
tisha
: Crane that recently collapsed was not a tower crane
Settlement requested Thu 24th Jul 4:42pm PDT by
quorny: http://www.newsweek.com/id/148610
Clarified Thu 24th Jul 11:59pm PDT by
tisha
: Settlement request was for a portable crane, not a tower crane
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
Predictions (144)
144 predictions
Comments (9)
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score: 10
CBS News 1 week ago
Church members watching the steeple being raised on their new building looked on in horror Thursday as a crane holding the structure toppled, crushing a car and killing an 79-year-old man who had been watching from inside the vehicle, firefighters said.
score: 10
score: 10
BBC 3 weeks ago
Mr Swirzynski died from multiple injuriesHealth and safety officials have written to crane hire and supply companies following the death of a worker at a site in Liverpool. Zbigniew Roman Swirzynski, of Preston, was struck by a 2.4 tonne concrete






Were the accidents referred to in the question involving tower cranes, or 'regular large cranes' as Epicur referred to.
Needs to have settlements issues cleared pretty soon
BTW Epicur...only about 70 miles from ya here in Gulfport
Epicur's comment was made 5weeks ago when this question was settled falsely.
The question was re-opened due to epicurs valid arguement which I entirely agree with.
This question refers to "Tower Cranes" which are often used for the construction of hi-rise buildings.
This is probably NOT a "Tower Crane". It was being used to construct a part of a refinery, AND althought it was a giant crane (took two months to construct on site), it WAS constructed "on the ground".
http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/front/5895512.html
They brought it in for some maintanence.
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