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Will the thong masked bandits be apprehended before Thursday?

Settled as No

Bandits = both. Only one was caught.

Background:


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
20%
No
80%
Activity: H$106,584
Settled as No on Fri 6th Jun 12:30am PDT

Suspend date: Thu 5th Jun 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 6th Jun 12:30am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 5th Jun 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Fri 30th May 6:29pm PDT by mork[Power User]
Suspended Thu 5th Jun 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 5th Jun 1:49am PDT by keyeshoveden: It's now Thursday.
Settlement requested Thu 5th Jun 7:39pm PDT by curios: One "Thong Bandit" in custody
By Joey Bunch
The Denver Post
Article Last Updated: 06/05/2008 06:45:14 AM MDT
it says bandits (plural) and before thurs day please release
Settled as 'No' Fri 6th Jun 12:30am PDT by robuk[Admin]: Bandits = both. Only one was caught.

Suspend date: Thu 5th Jun 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 6th Jun 12:30am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 5th Jun 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (135)

135 predictions

25 weeks ago
curios predicted No (H$200 at 78%)
25 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted No (H$1,000 at 77%)
25 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted No (H$635 at 76%)
25 weeks ago
steph predicted No (H$20 at 61%)
25 weeks ago
kgholderman predicted No (H$20 at 92%)
more

Comments (13)

from that article their real amatuers... tatoo showing, faces barely covered... their lucky they weren't already picked up.

on the other hand I'm still betting no ^_^
posted 26 weeks ago
  2 kennyk
I agree with ironman288..... And I bet yes on that basis. How can criminals that dumb get away?
It makes me worry about the future of law enforcement.....
Oh well........guess they still have a couple of hours...
posted 25 weeks ago
  3 chatarra
I agree with IronMan288 also. I bet the same way too.
What makes me nervous is that I only live 52 miles from Arvada. After watching Forensic Files on TV, I wonder how any criminal can get away with anything these days, Then there is this case where you would expect the police to apprehend a couple of knuckleheads like this - and rather quickly too.

What would FBI Criminal Profiler Dale Hinman say?
Hmmm. . .
2 guys with women's thong underwear covering part of their faces.
A subconscious attempt at oral gratification due to a lack of childhood nurturing.
Or more likely, that they are just a couple of dummies!
posted 25 weeks ago
  4 chatarra
$31,500 riding on the outcome
Note to Arvada's Finest - An Arrest by next weekend would be fine with me.
No sooner - please. . .
posted 25 weeks ago
  5 chatarra
Bailing out to bet on Hillary & the fun filled world of politics.
See ya. . .
posted 25 weeks ago
26 min ago... one down, one to go ;-)

Police arrest suspected 'thong bandit'

"ARVADA – Police believe surveillance video distributed by the media, including 9NEWS, led to the arrest late Wednesday afternoon of one of two robbers who tried to disguise themselves with brightly-colored women's thong underwear.

"Police say Joseph R. Espinoza, 24, turned himself in after learning police wanted to question him about his role in the robbery of a Diamond Shamrock gas station at Wadsworth Boulevard and West 68th Avenue on Friday, May 16, just before 5 a.m.

"Police continue to search for the second bandit who wore a green thong over his face. ... "
posted 25 weeks ago
  8 jchiang
so... if only one of them is arrested is that a NO to this question or a Yes?
posted 25 weeks ago
  9 robuk[Admin]
Is it fair to say that both need to be caught to settled as a Yes? As 'thong masked bandits' implies more than one to me. Any thoughts?
posted 25 weeks ago
  10 mork[Power User]
I think you're right robuk.
posted 25 weeks ago
  11 jchiang
thanks for confirming that, that's what i thought as well
silly bandits
posted 25 weeks ago
  12 kennyk
Even though I came out on the short end of this question, I'm glad to see they have at least one of these guys (and it sounds like they know who the other is).

Reinforces some of my faith in law enforcement.

And stupid or not - guys like this can still be dangerous and I'd rather not have them loose on the streets.
posted 25 weeks ago
@ robuk -- that's the way I read it ... needed to capture both to settle as "yes".

[Disclosure - I have no predictions in this market.]
posted 25 weeks ago

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