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What will be the outcome of JRR Tolkien's son attempt to get The Hobbit movie stopped?

Current forecast: other agreement is reached between the parties (37% chance1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is other agreement is reached between the parties with a probability of 37% (down 1% in last 1 day)

http://www.imdb.com/news/ni0241997/

What will the out come be he goes to court June 6th but no word on when a decision will be made I will set a suspend on this for December 2009 it should be settled by then.

 
Forecast history, %
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New Line pays 200 mil. to family
27%
Judge blocks: film not made
13%
New line does not pay and makes the movie anyway
23%
other agreement is reached between the parties
37%
Activity: H$4,873
Question suspends in 1 year
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 3:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: New Line pays 200 mil. to family: 25%, Judge blocks: film not made : 15%, New line does not pay and makes the movie anyway: 25%, other agreement is reached between the parties: 35%

Action history:

Created Fri 30th May 6:44pm PDT by ryanb37
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (12)

12 predictions

6 weeks ago
johnforegate predicted other agreement is reached between the parties (H$100 at 37%)
7 weeks ago
timmstifter predicted other agreement is reached between the parties (H$1,000 at 43%)
7 weeks ago
gingerboi predicted other agreement is reached between the parties (H$100 at 36%)
7 weeks ago
longlive35mm predicted New line does not pay and makes the movie anyway (H$20 at 23%)
7 weeks ago
futwick predicted other agreement is reached between the parties (H$20 at 36%)
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