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Will Iraq, in 2008, have a referendum on proposal to indefinitely station US troops in Iraq?

Current forecast: 9% chance 6%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 9% likely to happen (down 6% in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
9%
No
91%
Activity: H$11,866
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%

Action history:

Created Sat 31st May 3:07am PDT by mork[Power User]

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (30)

30 predictions

12 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted No (H$100 at 85%)
24 weeks ago
huskerfan predicted No (H$50 at 84%)
25 weeks ago
happypuppypark predicted No (H$50 at 84%)
25 weeks ago
paulcroft predicted No (H$20 at 84%)
26 weeks ago
deelilley predicted No (H$200 at 84%)
more

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