Created Sat 31st May 3:43am PDT by 
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Will AOL Separate Access And Content Businesses?
Current forecast: 78% chance 
4%
4%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 78% likely to happen (up 4% in last 1 day)
Silicon Alley Insider is reporting that a source close to the company says they have abandoned plans to separate content and access businesses.
Jeff Bewkes has subsequently peed on SAI's report (as they put it). PaidContent reports him as saying:
As they’ve said multiple times, Bewkes insists that selling off the AOL access business still the plan. Bewkes was asked about an unspecified report (almost certainly this one from SAI) suggesting that the company might change its mind on selling the unit. After deriding it as a report on a mere “blog”, Bewkes joked: “Gee I wonder if it’s true.” He then firmly stated that they’re sticking with the plan. So that’s the official line on that for now. In the meantime, AOL access is a profitable business that’s not declining as fast as they expected.
Jeff Bewkes has subsequently peed on SAI's report (as they put it). PaidContent reports him as saying:
As they’ve said multiple times, Bewkes insists that selling off the AOL access business still the plan. Bewkes was asked about an unspecified report (almost certainly this one from SAI) suggesting that the company might change its mind on selling the unit. After deriding it as a report on a mere “blog”, Bewkes joked: “Gee I wonder if it’s true.” He then firmly stated that they’re sticking with the plan. So that’s the official line on that for now. In the meantime, AOL access is a profitable business that’s not declining as fast as they expected.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. This question will settle as No if the Access and Content businesses have not been separated by the end of the 4th quarter.
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Activity: H$6,068
Question suspends in 4 weeks
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 80%
Action history:
Created Sat 31st May 3:43am PDT by punditwatch
punditwatch
Clarified Thu 7th Aug 3:17pm PDT by 
nigeleccles: To be settled as yes it is required that the two units are separated (even if that is within the same company).
nigeleccles: To be settled as yes it is required that the two units are separated (even if that is within the same company).
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
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Get widget!Predictions (18)
18 predictions
bookseller
newswrangler![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted No (H$250 at 25%)
fredwilson
owl1
anaverageamerican
jamalpeter
siliconalleyinsider_pwComments (3)
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score: 10
CNET News.com 1 week ago
efforts will shift to the online edition, PCMag.com. We're told the majority of the magazine's content editors will remain on staff, however, members of the print production, ad sales, and circulation staff have been let go. If the idea of buying a print
score: 10
Wall Street Journal Online 2 weeks ago
they said would cause health-care costs to balloon if it's left unaddressed. The group also favored universal access to affordable health-care coverage. The near-term threat posed by the economic downturn, however, overshadowed many of the longer term
score: 10
CNN Money 2 weeks ago
Yahoo Inc. (YHOO) said Monday that its co-founder and chief executive, Jerry Yang, will step down after the company finds a replacement, following a tumultuous and short tenure that included the
score: 10
Information Today 2 weeks ago
figures, are MSNBC (www.msnbc.msn.com), Yahoo! News (http://news.yahoo.com), CNN (www.cnn.com), and AOL News (http://news.aol.com). The New York Times' website (www.nytimes.com) is fifth. Unlike printed daily newspapers, most news sites are free, a major
score: 10
Forbes.com 2 weeks ago
giving readers the opportunity to engage with the writers and contribute to Autoblog's pages. By partnering with AOL Autos, http://autos.aol.com, Autoblog is a jumping-off point for in-market auto buyers who can combine a virtual window shopping
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