ryanb37 What will be the reported as the next major outbreak/ epidemic
http://www.nbc11.com/news/16547851/detail.html?rss=bay&psp=news
Background:
http://www.economist.com/science/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10717931
this is old
http://www.cdc.gov/MMWR/preview/mmwrhtml/mm54d330a1.htm
and
http://www.cdc.gov
OK so this is my last attempt at this @$#% question. if there is no major outbreak reported by 2010 it will settle as NONE
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Mdr Tuberculosis (Last outbreak12/2007) |
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Rabies (last scare 7/2007) |
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Cryptosporidiosis( last outbreak 2006) |
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Avian Enfluenza (current but not outbreak yet) |
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West Nile Virus ( 3 Cases so far in 2008) |
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Ebola (last recorded outbreak 11/2007) |
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Zombie Virus( No reported outbreak or existance) |
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NONE |
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Some other major outbreak |
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Suspend date: Wed 5th May 2010 4:59pm PDT (1 year to go) Settlement date: Tue 10th Jun 10:33am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 9th Jun 8:20am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Mdr Tuberculosis (Last outbreak12/2007): 10%, Rabies (last scare 7/2007): 10%, Cryptosporidiosis( last outbreak 2006): 10%, Avian Enfluenza (current but not outbreak yet): 16%, West Nile Virus ( 3 Cases so far in 2008): 15%, Ebola (last recorded outbreak 11/2007): 15%, Zombie Virus( No reported outbreak or existance): 4%, NONE: 10%, Some other major outbreak: 10%
Action history:
ryanb37 ryanb37: http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,364448,00.html in the article the word outbreak is used also a few other news sources report an outbreak causing they belive one death so far and over 30 hospitilizations from Conn- califonia it was also on the news this morning. 
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: http://www.nbc11.com/news/16547851/detail.html?rss=bay&psp=news
Suspend date: Wed 5th May 2010 4:59pm PDT (1 year to go) Settlement date: Tue 10th Jun 10:33am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 9th Jun 8:20am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (29)
29 predictions
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it could be beetle dung, for all i care, but i implore HD admins and superheroes... these pages are loading too slow... remove reddit and digg CRAP from this site!
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