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Will Obama announce that he's joined a new church prior to the Convention?

Settled as No

Today on a Saturday afternoon the following occurred: Barack Obama has resigned as a member of the Trinity United Church of Christ in Chicago, his campaign says.

This marketplace is speculating whether candidate Barack Obama, whose membership in the Trinity United Church in Chicago has come under pointed scrutiny, will now announce his affiliation with any other church prior to the Democratic convention. To me this in interesting because Senator Obama has gone on record about his religious convictions but the understanding of what that means precisely by some of the electorate remains somewhat unfathomable.

Since this question is asking about a particular event occurring before the Convention, I am moving suspend date from August 1st til August 24th the day before the convention. This doesn't change outcome of market, just allows people to play the market more freely.
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
2%
No
98%
Activity: H$46,995
Settled as No on Mon 25th Aug 1:01pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Mon 25th Aug 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Mon 25th Aug 1:01pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 25th Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 31st May 4:42pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Suspended Mon 25th Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 25th Aug 11:46am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: convention starting today and no reports of a new church for obama.
Settled as 'No' Mon 25th Aug 1:01pm PDT by destry[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (87)

87 predictions

1 week ago
queviltai predicted No (H$84 at 98%)
2 weeks ago
hallie predicted No (H$100 at 98%)
2 weeks ago
pippi1500 predicted No (H$50 at 98%)
3 weeks ago
pixelpaws predicted Yes (H$1 at 2%)
5 weeks ago
kiwifire predicted No (H$80 at 92%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 stephen
wow great question
keep up the good work
posted 14 weeks ago
  2 coolkraft
love the question
posted 14 weeks ago
not to be picky, but is the word "announce" missing from the question?
posted 14 weeks ago
@ notable
Yep, you're right, I have requested announce be added following the word publicly
posted 13 weeks ago

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