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Will Harold Ickes or Tina Flournoy be caught on film using vulgar langauge by 6/3?

Settled as No

No reports of this

Background:

SAN JUAN, Puerto Rico - Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton, newly defiant against her own party leaders, sought a victory Sunday in Puerto Rico's presidential primary that would give her a toehold on an increasingly slippery path to the nomination. The island territory, once a political asterisk in presidential contests, stood as Clinton's last best electoral chance. She, former President Clinton and their daughter Chelsea have spent a combined 15 days in the commonwealth hoping to keep her relevant in the contest. Sunday's vote follows the decision Saturday by a panel of the Democratic National Committee to give each Michigan and Florida delegate a half vote at this summer's convention. It was a compromise that did no harm to Obama's near claim to the nomination but infuriated the Clinton camp and prompted new threats to carry the fight to the August convention. "This decision violates the bedrock principles of our democracy and our party," the Clinton campaign said in a joint statement from Harold Ickes and Tina Flournoy, two of her advisers.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
5%
No
95%
Activity: H$39,634
Settled as No on Fri 6th Jun 2:17pm PDT

Suspend date: Wed 4th Jun 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 6th Jun 2:17pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 4th Jun 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Sun 1st Jun 5:13am PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Clarified Mon 2nd Jun 2:24pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: The market will settle if any of the words from this list are used:
http://www.noswearing.com/list.php
Suspended Tue 3rd Jun 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Tue 3rd Jun 9:32am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Suspended Wed 4th Jun 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Fri 6th Jun 2:17pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: No reports of this

Suspend date: Wed 4th Jun 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 6th Jun 2:17pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 4th Jun 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (29)

29 predictions

26 weeks ago
piterwilson predicted No (H$180 at 95%)
26 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted No (H$409 at 95%)
26 weeks ago
epicur predicted No (H$10,000 at 94%)
26 weeks ago
letmewinplees[Power User] predicted No (H$100 at 94%)
26 weeks ago
mrmike predicted No (H$50 at 88%)
more

Comments (3)

These two key people in Hillary Clinton's campaign, Harold Ickes and Tina Flournoy are furious about the decision regarding Michigan and Florida and with only two days remaining until the primary in Puerto Rico there is a reasonably good chance that their passion may be caught on film with some blue language. Settles for yes if either is recorded and shown on a major news source; CBS, NBC, ABC, CNN or FOX NEWS, using vulgar or profane language. I know this is a bit subjective, but a yes would result from language that would have gotten ones mouth rinsed out with soap, rather than just passionate anger.
posted 26 weeks ago
  2 mraleigh
Yeah, you're going to have to define this one better. For example, just yesterday Ickes said "You bet your ass..." on live television. Would that be considered vulgar? Hate to say it but you'll probably need to make a list of words that would settle the question.
posted 26 weeks ago
  3 ryanj[Admin]
Hi everyone,

The market will settle if any of these words are used from this list: http://www.noswearing.com/list.php

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor

PS Children avert your eyes!!!
posted 26 weeks ago

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