How old will the next celebrity be that dies AS REPORTED ON PEOPLE.COM
http://www.people.com/people/article/0,,20203740,00.html
News of his death was reported at 12 so predictions made after that fact are voided.
Background:>
Settlement details:
as reported on People.com
Settled
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0-20 |
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21-30 |
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31-40 |
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41-50 |
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51-60 |
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61-70 |
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71-80 |
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81-90 |
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90 and older |
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Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) Settlement date: Mon 2nd Jun 2:34pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 2nd Jun 10am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: 0-20: 10%, 21-30: 10%, 31-40: 5%, 41-50: 5%, 51-60: 10%, 61-70: 10%, 71-80: 20%, 81-90: 15%, 90 and older: 15%
Action history:
News of his death was reported at 12 so predictions made after that fact are voided.
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) Settlement date: Mon 2nd Jun 2:34pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 2nd Jun 10am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (27)
27 predictions
Comments (24)
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New in Entertainment » Celebrities




http://www.people.com/people/article/0,,20203612,00.html
http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/06/01/laurent.obit/index.html
Unfortunately not all news items make good markets on hubdub.
I actually think this is a pretty great market and think it should be a regular question on hubdub.
I'll settle the market now, but besides that using People.com is fine by me. In politics we sometimes use realclearpolictics and they don't update immediately. It's really just the luck of the draw sometimes.
Ryan happy we finally got your market moving, well not we but the Hubdub userbase. Well done guys!
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
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