crowe Will Hubdub hit 7500 users by June 15, 2008?
After reviewing the new sign-ups there are around 10-15 that were clearly fraudulent (I'll not detail how we know but there are range of factors I've looked at). Discounting the fraudulent ones this question settles as No. I am in favor of keeping these questions but if we find that in the next instance that they drive fraudulent sign-ups then we will have to place them on the black list.
Background:
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Mon 16th Jun 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 16th Jun 7:57am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 15th Jun 11:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
crowe 
curios: on the same criteria of the chinese earthquake dead prediction this must be settled it is usurers (by the 15th june) and we are 23 short 
nigeleccles![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: We will check to see if there is suspicious account creation before settlement. Currently 'by' means inclusive of the date referred to. 
newswrangler![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: Suspended pending settlement newswrangler:
(sigh) 7,500 "users" have been reached.
Having watched this over the past few days, there are, in my view, several questionable user accounts that were created.
I suggest that these types of questions not be allowed go forward, and the other existing markets asking this question be voided.
(market suspended)
nigeleccles: After reviewing the new sign-ups there are around 10-15 that were clearly fraudulent (I'll not detail how we know but there are range of factors I've looked at). Discounting the fraudulent ones this question settles as No. I am in favor of keeping these questions but if we find that in the next instance that they drive fraudulent sign-ups then we will have to place them on the black list.
Suspend date: Mon 16th Jun 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 16th Jun 7:57am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 15th Jun 11:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (131)
131 predictions
jaspersoddity
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constable1664
onedave
taternutz5
letmewinplees
chris
valornhonorComments (40)
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10:54 a.m. 6-3-08
7:28 a.m. 6-4-08
http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_7204
4:57 p.m. CST 6-4-08
i saw like 7174 and was like 400! and bet a bunch on no
now im reconsidering
http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/06/04/hubdub-launches-punditwatch-we-dont-do-so-well-so-far/
That usually causes a nice surge in users. I think its about 80 today so far...
<http://venturebeat.com/2008/06/04/punditwatch-interesting-fun-but-slightly-flawed/>
Albeit, it's often said that "all press is good press ... "
Can anyone help?
4:41p.m. 6-5-08
7:15 a.m. CST 6-6-08
6:42p.m. CST 6-6-08
4:47 p.m. CST 6-7-08
12:36 p.m. CST 6-8-08
Having said that I think the intent of this question is quite clear and the market should be allowed to go forward.
10:48 a.m. CST 6-9-08
6:43 a.m. CST 6-10-08
1:34 p.m. CST 6-11-08
6:38 a.m. CST 6-11-08
7:09 a.m. CST 6-12-08
7:02 p.m. CST 6-12-08
60 to go - 3 days left!
"Before June 15th" would mean 12:59:59PM on June 14th."
"On or before" is often a good way to describe dated events such as this.
9:43 a.m. CST 6-013-08
So, now we are down to only 45 needed with about 50 hours left.
7:43 a.m. CST 6-14-08
6:00 p.m. CST 6-14-08
25 to go with ~30 hours left!!! Ooooooh... what a nailbiter!!!
I am not accusing anyone here of doing this, just a thought that came to mind after seeing this question.
Does hubdub have a way to monitor/track this (accounts per IP address/Household)
It seems like all these questions end up being YES, well maybe except for tomg's asking for 50k users by October 2008.
That might be difficult, but I hope that one settles as YES also...lol
I think your concerns will be best addressed if you use the 'contact us' link at the bottom of this page.
11:06 a.m. CST 6-15-08
14 to go!
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