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When will Obama announce his VP choice?
http://apnews.excite.com/article/20080823/D92NVQA01.html
Background:
Suspending the question just before the convention.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Obama announces his choice by June 15 |
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Obama announces his choice between 6/16 & 6/29 |
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Obama announces his choice between 6/30 & 7/13 |
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Obama announces his choice between 7/14 & 7/27 |
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Obama announces his choice between 7/28 & 8/10 |
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Obama announces his choice between 8/11 & 8/22 |
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Obama announces his choice on 8/23 or 8/24 |
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Obama announces his choice on 8/25 or later |
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Suspend date: Fri 22nd Aug 8:59pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 23rd Aug 7:20am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 22nd Aug 8:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Obama announces his choice by June 15: 8%, Obama announces his choice between 6/16 & 6/29: 15%, Obama announces his choice between 6/30 & 7/13: 25%, Obama announces his choice between 7/14 & 7/27: 20%, Obama announces his choice between 7/28 & 8/10: 15%, Obama announces his choice between 8/11 & 8/22: 10%, Obama announces his choice on 8/23 or 8/24: 4%, Obama announces his choice on 8/25 or later: 3%
Action history:
bayoubear 
steez: Can we settle this? As I believe he was picked early sat 23rd as it says in the post.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/08/23/AR2008082300312.html
linny40: cnn,fox,abc,nbc,bloomberg,my neighbor 
destry: http://apnews.excite.com/article/20080823/D92NVQA01.html
Suspend date: Fri 22nd Aug 8:59pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 23rd Aug 7:20am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 22nd Aug 8:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (445)
445 predictions
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cheesenipsComments (4)
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New in Politics » US Election 2008
Barack Obama's campaign confirms that the Illinois senator will hold an event in his home state Saturday, kicking off the "roll into the convention" — but would not confirm or deny reports that he might be joined on stage by a running mate. - CNN
Hmm...
All markets relating to the vice presidential announcement, and who Obama will choose as VP or doesn't choose as VP will suspend at 12:01am EDT on August 23, 2008.
This is being done to help manage the 30+ markets revolving around this potential announcement. I am not posting this in all 30 markets because it would overwhelm the comment boards. If the announcement is made before 12:01am EDT on August 23, 2008, then markets will suspend when announcement is made.
Even as creator of this one, I wasn't sure as to what the time should be...at least it's out in the open in advance....luckily too, since the news got out when they didn't want it to and they had to make that announcement so close to the midnight hour.......Good Move Destry!
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