Created Wed 4th Jun 2008 10:07am PST by 
deano1337
deano1337 
What will a barrel of oil cost, in US Dollars, at the end of 2008?
Settled as Less than $100
Quite obviously 'less than $100" as oil closed in the low to mid $40's on 12/31/08.
Background:
Background: What will be the price of a barrel of oil at the close
of business on December 31, 2008?
Based on NYMEX pricing.
of business on December 31, 2008?
Based on NYMEX pricing.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Less than $100 |
| |||
| $100-$109 |
| |||
| $110-$119 |
| |||
| $120-$129 |
| |||
| $130-$139 |
| |||
| More than $140 |
|
Settled as Less than $100 on Fri 2nd Jan 2009 5:43am PST
- Activity: H$324,870 |
- Predictions: 598 |
Comments: 6
Suspend date: Tue 30th Dec 2008 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 2nd Jan 2009 5:43am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 30th Dec 2008 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Less than $100: 16%, $100-$109: 16%, $110-$119: 16%, $120-$129: 16%, $130-$139: 20%, More than $140: 16%
Action history:
Created Wed 4th Jun 2008 10:07am PST by deano1337
deano1337
Suspended Thu 11th Sep 2008 7:20am PST by 
bayoubear![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: Needing clarification about the pricing of oil, dates, and settlement
bayoubear: Needing clarification about the pricing of oil, dates, and settlement
Settlement requested Tue 14th Oct 2008 6:48am PST by 
Erik: Ohio executes Cooey
UPDATE: 10:35 AM, Tuesday, October 14, 2008
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
RICHARD COOEY
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Ohio Headlines
• Ohio executes Cooey
• Ohio: Today's top stories, Oct. 14
• Marine fighting extradition, could delay U.S. trial
• Repeat Ohio sex offender sentenced again
• Cleveland to limit payday loan shops
• Ohio school board to select next chief
• Ohio inmate's family won't witness execution
• With execution imminent, Cooey files appeals
• Lotteries
Recent Headlines
• U.S. Supreme Court denies Cooey appeal to stop execution
• Ohio: Today's top stories, Oct. 13
• Ohio shooting puts face on foreclosure crisis
• Scene of grisly mob slaying has haunted past
• Ohio gas down 41 cents in a week
• Lotteries
LUCASVILLE Ohio has executed a 5-foot-7, 267-pound double murderer who argued he was too fat to die humanely by lethal injection.
Richard Cooey died at 10:28 a.m. Tuesday at the Southern Ohio Correctional Facility in Lucasville.
http://www.cantonrep.com/index.php?Category=13&ID=436099&subCategoryID=0
Erik: Ohio executes Cooey
UPDATE: 10:35 AM, Tuesday, October 14, 2008
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
RICHARD COOEY
Multimedia
• Latest Videos, Slideshows, Audio...
• Sports Videos
Advertisement
Ohio Headlines
• Ohio executes Cooey
• Ohio: Today's top stories, Oct. 14
• Marine fighting extradition, could delay U.S. trial
• Repeat Ohio sex offender sentenced again
• Cleveland to limit payday loan shops
• Ohio school board to select next chief
• Ohio inmate's family won't witness execution
• With execution imminent, Cooey files appeals
• Lotteries
Recent Headlines
• U.S. Supreme Court denies Cooey appeal to stop execution
• Ohio: Today's top stories, Oct. 13
• Ohio shooting puts face on foreclosure crisis
• Scene of grisly mob slaying has haunted past
• Ohio gas down 41 cents in a week
• Lotteries
LUCASVILLE Ohio has executed a 5-foot-7, 267-pound double murderer who argued he was too fat to die humanely by lethal injection.
Richard Cooey died at 10:28 a.m. Tuesday at the Southern Ohio Correctional Facility in Lucasville.
http://www.cantonrep.com/index.php?Category=13&ID=436099&subCategoryID=0
Settlement requested Tue 14th Oct 2008 6:49am PST by Erik: woops...sorry, wrong market
Erik: woops...sorry, wrong market
Suspended Tue 30th Dec 2008 3:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:31pm PST by Erik: http://www.bloomberg.com/index.html?Intro=intro3
Erik: http://www.bloomberg.com/index.html?Intro=intro3
Settlement requested Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:35pm PST by Erik: Less than $100
Where possible we like to settle questions early. If something is 99.9% certain then we will tend to settle it. Every one in a 1,000 times we get it wrong we will also pay-out on the correct outcome.
Erik: Less than $100
Where possible we like to settle questions early. If something is 99.9% certain then we will tend to settle it. Every one in a 1,000 times we get it wrong we will also pay-out on the correct outcome.
Settlement requested Thu 1st Jan 2009 4:03pm PST by 
pixelpaws
: $43.25 as of this settlement request; the price may shift during electronic trading, but will obviously be well below $100.
http://www.nymex.com/lsco_fut_cso.aspx
pixelpaws: $43.25 as of this settlement request; the price may shift during electronic trading, but will obviously be well below $100.
http://www.nymex.com/lsco_fut_cso.aspx
Settled as 'Less than $100' Fri 2nd Jan 2009 5:43am PST by bayoubear: Quite obviously 'less than $100" as oil closed in the low to mid $40's on 12/31/08.
bayoubear: Quite obviously 'less than $100" as oil closed in the low to mid $40's on 12/31/08. 
Suspend date: Tue 30th Dec 2008 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 2nd Jan 2009 5:43am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 30th Dec 2008 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (598)
jensir
predicted Less than $100 (H$100 at 99%)
jmd2009
predicted Less than $100 (H$100 at 99%)
predicted Less than $100 (H$1,000 at 99%)
predicted Less than $100 (H$100 at 97%)Comments (6)
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Related Tags
of business on December 31, 2008?"
Settlement details state: "Suspend date: Tue 30th Dec 5:59pm CST (10 weeks to go)"
What's the deal?
Referring to the suspension date? Or ???
It is set before 12/31, but I would prefer it to be set a few days earlier....maybe the 24th or 26th.
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