Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

Will Congressman Jefferson of New Orleans be re-elected in November, 2008?

Suspended

Suspend date reached

Background:

OK...the investigations continue...Congressman Jefferson was the one found with $100,000 in 'cold cash' in his DC area home freezer. Now more investigations and more arrests and indictments of family members, and he'll still probably run for re-election in New Orleans. He's already been re-elected once since these allegations were originally made back in May of 2006. His sister, New Orleans assessor, and her daughter and his brother Mose were indicted on Wednesday on charges of diverting millions of dollars from New Orleans charities.

So will the voters of New Orleans return him to office AGAIN in light of these developments? Wonder if Obama will stay clear of him in the campaign?

Question will suspend prior to the November federal elections, but the Louisiana races won't be decided until a final ballot in December. Jefferson is unlikely to lose against a Republican in his district, so if he does win on 11/4, he's a pretty sure shot to get back in. Question will be settled after the December election, 12/4/08.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Suspended

Yes
71%
No
29%
Activity: H$18,452
Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST
more info...

 

Predictions (46)

46 predictions

4 weeks ago
jhc360 predicted No (H$20 at 29%)
7 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Yes (H$500 at 67%)
7 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Yes (H$500 at 66%)
7 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Yes (H$500 at 65%)
7 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Yes (H$500 at 64%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 chatarra
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/C/CONGRESSMAN_PROBE?SITE=FLTAM&SECTION=US
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/18/us/18brfs-INDICTEDLAWM_BRF.html?ref=us
"The corruption accusations were a persistent problem for him then, but he overcame the odds and won in a landslide. Two week ago federal prosecutors indicted some of his family members on unrelated fraud charges. Jefferson has pleaded not guilty to charges of soliciting more than $500,000 in bribes while using his office to broker business deals in Africa."

Obviously, ethics are not part of his consideration about running again. Unfortunately, I have little doubt that he will be elected again.
posted 23 weeks ago
  2 bayoubear[Admin]
Having lived in New Orleans for 13 years, I pretty much suspect that he WILL be re-elected again, UNLESS more bad news comes out and/or a really good opponent comes up against him . . . but there's always the chance that the citizens of New Orleans will come to their senses....remember the composition of the city's population has changed, and even though they re-elected him last time, they may not this time.
posted 23 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more