
In what order will these movies open: Hellboy 2, Journey to the Center of the Earth, and Meet Dave?
Settlement details:
As reported by www.the-numbers.com or another major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Hellboy 2 / JttCotE / Meet Dave |
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Hellboy 2 / Meet Dave / JttCotE |
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JttCotE / Hellboy 2 / Meet Dave |
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JttCotE / Meet Dave / Hellboy 2 |
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Meet Dave / Hellboy 2 / JttCotE |
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Meet Dave / JttCotE / Hellboy 2 |
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Suspend date: Sat 12th Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 13th Jul 12:19pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 12th Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Hellboy 2 / JttCotE / Meet Dave: 25%, Hellboy 2 / Meet Dave / JttCotE: 23%, JttCotE / Hellboy 2 / Meet Dave: 22%, JttCotE / Meet Dave / Hellboy 2: 10%, Meet Dave / Hellboy 2 / JttCotE: 10%, Meet Dave / JttCotE / Hellboy 2: 10%
Action history:
#1 ... $35.884 million ... Hellboy 2: The Golden Army
#3 ... $20.580 million ... Journey to the Center of the Earth
#7 ..... $5.300 million ... Meet Dave
So the winning prediction was: Hellboy2/JttCotE/MeetDave
http://www.the-numbers.com/charts/thisweek.php
lucidstates
Suspend date: Sat 12th Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 13th Jul 12:19pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 12th Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Predictions (103)
103 predictions
Comments (9)
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66 settled, 3 voided




I love it - Very nice
So, my little research and reasoning make me believe Journey first, and a toss up for second and third, leaning towards Hellboy for second but the First Hellboy opening so low has me worried about that.
Let me know how far off am I to your opinions lucidstates.
My issue with Journey is that it's like you said, not really getting any airplay, so it's a relatively unknown commodity in the movie market right now, secondly, Hellboy 2 is a franchise film, which means that anyone into comics, or liked or even disliked the first Hellboy, already know this film is coming, so to me that gives it a little leg up, and as for that stupid Eddie Murphy movie, seems to me that it'll suffer the exact same fate as Mike Myers "Love Guru." So far, I'm seeing NOTHING positive for this alien film of his and I think it'll CRASH and BURN at the B.O.
Eddie has a history of either realllllllllly huge films, or total disasters! So I'm picking this one as the latter.
BUT, you do bring up an interesting point about Hellboy/Mummy and so I'm going to www.the-numbers.com right now.............. BRB
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Okay, so the Mummy films so far average like $52 million opening, and Hellboy WILL NOT do even close, however, the Mummy's were 7 and 9 years ago, and I was in a friends house last week and the trailer for Journey came on and the girl literally says "Oh that's Branden Fraser? ... Yeah looks like his film, he always plays in these kinds of movies."
And I take that as a negative, HOWEVER, that is also a positive as these films usually do pretty well and when you got something that works, why change it? So yeah, I agree with you on that correlation. One additional thought of mine, and of course I'm no expert and this is all just opinion, which ain't worth much in real life, LOL, but I could see Hellboy 2 opening mid $20's, Meet Dave opening mid teens, and Journey opening around $30-$35 mil. So yeah, JttCotE #1, Hellboy 2 #2 and Meet Dave #3.
Now that I've made a totally off the cuff prediction, I'm going to www.HSX.com to see what the expected B.O. is for each of these films according to those players, brb.....
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#1 ... $28.320 mil ... Hellboy 2
#2 ... $18.124 mil ... Meet Dave
#3 ... $16.651 mil ... Journey to the Center of the Earth
So as you can see, I AM WAYYYYY OFF based upon the much larger community of HSX players. But I think they're wrong! :-D
Thats what makes these questions so fun. You can go and get estimates from other sites, use your own judgement and personal opinion, and still have no idea how to wager. I usually go with personal opinion which most of the time doesn't work out too well.
I MUST change my opinion now! I was betting that it'd be JttCotE/Hellboy2/MeetDave... But after going to www.superherohype.com, I can not resist Hellboy2! This film is gonna be BIG on that weekend! It looks really good, and I thought the original Hellboy was totally stupid! But this one looks fun and sooooo weird!!! :-D
So yeah.
#1 ... $35.884 million ... Hellboy 2: The Golden Army
#3 ... $20.580 million ... Journey to the Center of the Earth
#7 ..... $5.300 million ... Meet Dave
So the winning prediction was: Hellboy2/JttCotE/MeetDave
I've asked for settlement :-D
lucidstates
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