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In what order will these movies open: Hellboy 2, Journey to the Center of the Earth, and Meet Dave?

Settled as Hellboy 2 / JttCotE / Meet Dave

This question asks, BASED UPON NORTH AMERICAN BOX OFFICE RECEIPTS during the first 3 days of release in theaters (July 11th, 12th and 13th) in what ORDER will THESE THREE MOVIES open against one another only, NOT any other films in release? ....... Due to the long title length for the film Journey to the Center of the Earth, in the options below, it will be abbreviated as: JttCotE ....... For example, let's say that, Hellboy earns $27 million, JttCotE earns $20 million and Meet Dave earns $17 million, then the option "Hellboy / JttCotE / Meet Dave" WILL WIN. ....... Another example, let's say that JttCofE earns $35 million, Hellboy 2 earns $24 million and Meet Dave earns $21 million, then the option "JttCofE / Hellboy 2 / Meet Dave" WILL WIN. Percentages are based upon opening box office estimates as of 06/04/08. Does this make sense to everybody? If not, PLEASE DO NOT BET and contact an admin for clarification!


Settlement details: As reported by www.the-numbers.com or another major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Hellboy 2 / JttCotE / Meet Dave
74%
Hellboy 2 / Meet Dave / JttCotE
14%
JttCotE / Hellboy 2 / Meet Dave
9%
JttCotE / Meet Dave / Hellboy 2
1%
Meet Dave / Hellboy 2 / JttCotE
1%
Meet Dave / JttCotE / Hellboy 2
1%
Activity: H$21,534
Settled as Hellboy 2 / JttCotE / Meet Dave on Sun 13th Jul 12:19pm PDT

Suspend date: Sat 12th Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 13th Jul 12:19pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 12th Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Hellboy 2 / JttCotE / Meet Dave: 25%, Hellboy 2 / Meet Dave / JttCotE: 23%, JttCotE / Hellboy 2 / Meet Dave: 22%, JttCotE / Meet Dave / Hellboy 2: 10%, Meet Dave / Hellboy 2 / JttCotE: 10%, Meet Dave / JttCotE / Hellboy 2: 10%

Action history:

Created Wed 4th Jun 3:23pm PDT by lucidstates
Suspended Sat 12th Jul 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 13th Jul 12:06pm PDT by lucidstates: Please settle this question now as the Box Office numbers are sooooo far apart, that any slight adjustments are not near enough to alter the winning outcome of this question.

#1 ... $35.884 million ... Hellboy 2: The Golden Army
#3 ... $20.580 million ... Journey to the Center of the Earth
#7 ..... $5.300 million ... Meet Dave

So the winning prediction was: Hellboy2/JttCotE/MeetDave

http://www.the-numbers.com/charts/thisweek.php

lucidstates
Settled as 'Hellboy 2 / JttCotE / Meet Dave' Sun 13th Jul 12:19pm PDT by tisha[Admin]

Suspend date: Sat 12th Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 13th Jul 12:19pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 12th Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (103)

103 predictions

20 weeks ago
talilanajera predicted Hellboy 2 / JttCotE / Meet Dave (H$100 at 76%)
20 weeks ago
kida predicted Hellboy 2 / JttCotE / Meet Dave (H$156 at 75%)
20 weeks ago
smidge76 predicted Hellboy 2 / JttCotE / Meet Dave (H$500 at 73%)
20 weeks ago
vigilante9801 predicted Hellboy 2 / JttCotE / Meet Dave (H$100 at 71%)
20 weeks ago
kida predicted Hellboy 2 / Meet Dave / JttCotE (H$50 at 29%)
more

Comments (9)

Why cant I think of questions like this? lol
I love it - Very nice
posted 25 weeks ago
Thanks man :-D I wanted to mix it up and see how people like it ;-D Just adding a little twist to the weekly Movie Q's :-D
posted 25 weeks ago
Wow, sooooo close these predictions :-D
posted 24 weeks ago
Obviously I made this question TOO complicated :-/
posted 23 weeks ago
You ever go to the movie websites lucidstates? I usually dont but havent seen any previews for these movies so went to each site. Journey2Earth and Hellboy2 have some pretty cool websites. I wish i could create a website like them. After checking I was a bit surprised the first Hellboy only did 23mill in its opening weekend. Brendan Fraser's Mummy movies did really good at the box office, which Journey2Earth seems to fit same kinda category.
So, my little research and reasoning make me believe Journey first, and a toss up for second and third, leaning towards Hellboy for second but the First Hellboy opening so low has me worried about that.
Let me know how far off am I to your opinions lucidstates.
posted 22 weeks ago
Well, truthfully, I didn't consider the Mummy/Hellboy comparison, and that's an awesome point man! I don't go to their sites either, cept for WALL-E :-D But you're right, I should go to them.
My issue with Journey is that it's like you said, not really getting any airplay, so it's a relatively unknown commodity in the movie market right now, secondly, Hellboy 2 is a franchise film, which means that anyone into comics, or liked or even disliked the first Hellboy, already know this film is coming, so to me that gives it a little leg up, and as for that stupid Eddie Murphy movie, seems to me that it'll suffer the exact same fate as Mike Myers "Love Guru." So far, I'm seeing NOTHING positive for this alien film of his and I think it'll CRASH and BURN at the B.O.
Eddie has a history of either realllllllllly huge films, or total disasters! So I'm picking this one as the latter.
BUT, you do bring up an interesting point about Hellboy/Mummy and so I'm going to www.the-numbers.com right now.............. BRB
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Okay, so the Mummy films so far average like $52 million opening, and Hellboy WILL NOT do even close, however, the Mummy's were 7 and 9 years ago, and I was in a friends house last week and the trailer for Journey came on and the girl literally says "Oh that's Branden Fraser? ... Yeah looks like his film, he always plays in these kinds of movies."
And I take that as a negative, HOWEVER, that is also a positive as these films usually do pretty well and when you got something that works, why change it? So yeah, I agree with you on that correlation. One additional thought of mine, and of course I'm no expert and this is all just opinion, which ain't worth much in real life, LOL, but I could see Hellboy 2 opening mid $20's, Meet Dave opening mid teens, and Journey opening around $30-$35 mil. So yeah, JttCotE #1, Hellboy 2 #2 and Meet Dave #3.
Now that I've made a totally off the cuff prediction, I'm going to www.HSX.com to see what the expected B.O. is for each of these films according to those players, brb.....
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#1 ... $28.320 mil ... Hellboy 2
#2 ... $18.124 mil ... Meet Dave
#3 ... $16.651 mil ... Journey to the Center of the Earth

So as you can see, I AM WAYYYYY OFF based upon the much larger community of HSX players. But I think they're wrong! :-D
posted 22 weeks ago
WOW now that is some insight and opinion. HSX currently has Journey2Earth coming in 3rd. That is a surprise to me. It might not be #1, but Meet Dave over Journey? Interesting.
Thats what makes these questions so fun. You can go and get estimates from other sites, use your own judgement and personal opinion, and still have no idea how to wager. I usually go with personal opinion which most of the time doesn't work out too well.
posted 22 weeks ago
WOW, how ironic... I bet $242 on Hellboy2/JttCotE/MeetDave and it pays $666 ... LOL ... $666, I couldn't have picked that if I'd tried :-P

I MUST change my opinion now! I was betting that it'd be JttCotE/Hellboy2/MeetDave... But after going to www.superherohype.com, I can not resist Hellboy2! This film is gonna be BIG on that weekend! It looks really good, and I thought the original Hellboy was totally stupid! But this one looks fun and sooooo weird!!! :-D

So yeah.
posted 21 weeks ago
Weekend Update:

#1 ... $35.884 million ... Hellboy 2: The Golden Army
#3 ... $20.580 million ... Journey to the Center of the Earth
#7 ..... $5.300 million ... Meet Dave

So the winning prediction was: Hellboy2/JttCotE/MeetDave
I've asked for settlement :-D

lucidstates
posted 20 weeks ago

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