Created Wed 4th Jun 3:56pm PDT by

All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 »

Will Bill Clinton Campaign for Barack Obama?

Settled as Yes

Rally on Oct 29. Orlando Florida.

Background:

Category Editor Clarification
The suspend date has been moved til the election. If he campaigns with him before then it will suspend/settle then. This market asks about an event and not whether that event will occur by a particular time, and because it is event based, suspend date can be moved without effecting market.
Barack Obama and Bill Clinton haven't had the greatest of relationships during this campaign. But Bill even though he's made some mistakes over the years is one of the best fundraisers the Democrat's have. He's also a great campaigner.

The rift that's occurred between Obama and the Clintons though may be to wide to fix. And nothing mobilizes the GOP against the Dem's then the Clintons.

For this market to settle "campaign" is taken to mean: Obama and Bill being seen at a Obama campaign rally or campaign event (The convention will not count).

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history, %

Zoom in

Settled

Yes

76%

24%

Activity: H$151,617

Settled as Yes on Wed 29th Oct 2:20pm PDT

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 7:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 29th Oct 2:20pm PDT

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 4th Jun 3:56pm PDT by

coolkraft

Suspended Wed 4th Jun 4:04pm PDT by

jenniandboys [Admin]

: Flagged by super user: Would like to define 'campaign' before this goes any further... At a rally together? Out on the campaign trail with him? What about photo ops, fundraisers or an endorsement speech?

Unsuspended Thu 5th Jun 11:54am PDT by

ryanj

Settlement requested Wed 1st Oct 6:10pm PDT by

dragonfangxl: Bill clinton made a appearance for Barack Hussien Obama.
http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/10/01/clinton-hits-campaign-trail-obama-says-dem-ticket-better-answers/

Settlement requested Thu 2nd Oct 10:40am PDT by

jake: Settle as yes.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=azhmBOUeyEp4&refer=worldwide

Settlement requested Thu 2nd Oct 11:19am PDT by

rbrog77: He did.

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/10/02/1478907.aspx

Suspended Sat 25th Oct 12:41pm PDT by

jenniandboys [Admin]

: Suspended pending settlement

Settlement requested Sat 25th Oct 12:41pm PDT by

jenniandboys [Admin]

: http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/25/bill-clinton-to-campaign-with-obama/ (market suspended)

Settled as 'Yes' Wed 29th Oct 2:20pm PDT by

destry [Admin]

: Rally on Oct 29. Orlando Florida.

hide

Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 7:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 29th Oct 2:20pm PDT
more info...

Get widget!

Predictions (251)

251 predictions

5 weeks ago

fellcolor predicted No (H$400 at 23%)

5 weeks ago

lachster predicted No (H$20 at 23%)

5 weeks ago

lachster predicted No (H$20 at 22%)

5 weeks ago

ianochaye predicted No (H$100 at 22%)

6 weeks ago

jchiang predicted Yes (H$100 at 78%)

Comments (18)

coolkraft

at an Obama campaign rally

posted 25 weeks ago

jake

For Obama's sake I hope not.

posted 25 weeks ago

jamalpeter

Despite this question having settled, according to Bill Clinton's representatives, Obama still has to ask nicely. (Or pucker up, whichever.)

posted 22 weeks ago

ryanj

For all we know this may occur during the Clinton event this week. It would be a great photo-op. The problem here though is that whatever the politicians say, it's reasonably clear that there is love lost. However much they make nice on stage, that fact will always remain.

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor

posted 22 weeks ago

coolkraft

makes it kind of interesting...they need each other for various reasons...Bill has to get over himself

posted 22 weeks ago

coolkraft

lets see what happens

http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D91VP7E81&show_article=1&catnum=0

posted 19 weeks ago

newswrangler [Power User]

The suspend date for this market has been changed by a category editor:

Category Editor Clarification
The suspend date has been moved til the election. If he campaigns with him before then it will suspend/settle then. This market asks about an event and not whether that event will occur by a particular time, and because it is event based, suspend date can be moved without effecting market.

posted 12 weeks ago

dragonfangxl

Lets see. When he campaigned for himself the first time in 1994 he won. When he campaigned again in 1996 he won. When he campaigned again in 2008 for Hilliary Clinton he lost. That shows a 66% success rating. Therefore if he were to support obama, in theory there would be a 2/3 chance obama wins. Considering that Obama has won when he ran for senate in 2004 that means that he has a 100% chance in theory of winning. So if Clinton decided to help obama it would be bad for the Obama campaign, lowering his chances of winning by 34%. In theory of course.

posted 11 weeks ago

jsevigny

Don't you just love statistics, Dragon?

Did Billy Bob campaign for Gore? If so, we have to drop his success rate to 50 percent, right? Did he campaign for Kerry? This is getting complicated.

I was thinking, if Bill Clinton was "the first black president" then Obama has a 0 percent chance of being the first black president.

posted 8 weeks ago

dragonfangxl

How very scientific of you.

posted 8 weeks ago

dragonfangxl

*correction mathmatical

posted 8 weeks ago

theonecalledmichael

He appeared alone, without Barack. Settlement details and background clearly state they must appear together at a rally....

posted 8 weeks ago

dieseldog

ditto at what tocm said. just a comment on the clarifaction. why it's true changing the suspend time (making it longer) doesn't effect the outcome of the question per say..it does change the chances of it occuring. i have very little wagered and will go with the clarifaction. just wanna be on the record that imho making the settlement time longer is reason to have one's bet voided if they so choose.

posted 8 weeks ago

dieseldog

looks like theonecalledmichael wasn't kidding when he said he was out of here..hmmm.

posted 8 weeks ago

dragonfangxl

Yeah. Hes Mad.

posted 7 weeks ago

stgarf

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/10/12/campaign.wrap/index.html

posted 7 weeks ago

coolkraft

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/25/bill-clinton-to-campaign-with-obama/

Bill Clinton WILL campaign with Obama

posted 5 weeks ago

dragonfangxl

Its not for sure though. Something could happen. Why did they settle this before hand?

posted 4 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now or learn more

Related News

This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags

score: 10

The Flyover View, I Deputize You

National Journal 7 weeks ago

candidate, Sen. Hillary Clinton, lost the Democratic primary. They were disappointed again when she was passed by for vice president. The Scheids even considered not voting for Sen. Barack Obama in November, but have since changed their minds. As Mrs.

score: 10

Biden terms McCain erratic

Webindia123 7 weeks ago

spoke warmly of Biden, whom he has known for more than two decades. He said the choice of vice president was more crucial this year than in the past because the next president would be consumed by the global financial emergency. In her remarks, Mrs.

score: 10

Biden shares stage with Clintons

International Herald Tribune 7 weeks ago

score: 10

Clintons together campaign with Biden

Philadelphia Inquirer 7 weeks ago

he gave Biden a rousing endorsement, saying that 'Barack Obama could not have made a better choice' for vice president, even though he promoted his wife for the job last spring when it appeared obvious she wouldn't get the Democratic nomination for

score: 10

Clintons, Biden call on Scranton

Chicago Tribune 7 weeks ago