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How much will "The Dark Knight" earn in its opening weekend? (July 18th, 19th & 20th)

Settled as $86 million or More...

This film did an all time highest opening weekend box office of $155.34 MILLION!!

http://www.the-numbers.com/charts/today.php

Background:

Background: Dark Knight, the newest Batman movie, is opening this weekend. Based on advance ticket sales, which are currently 3-times those sold for Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest, it is going to be a huge one!!

In fact, estimates so far have been that Dark Knight could break the record for largest opening weekend in movie history, currently held by Spiderman 3 with a $150 million domestic opening haul. Heath Ledger's fans are obviously flocking big time to see the movie, but the movies 2 hour 32 min length might turn some people off. Can you predict how much this movie is going to make in its opening weekend?

This question asks, how much do you think the new Batman summer blockbuster movie "The Dark Knight" will earn in its first three days of release at the North America Box Office (July 18th, 19th and 20th, 2008)?

Settlement details:As reported by www.the-numbers.com or another major mainstream news source. Predictions settles as such: If for example it earns $75.999 million, then the "$70 to $75 million" WILL WIN, not the "$76 to $80 million". It must at least reach $76 million even, in order for "$76 million to $80 million" prediction to win. Reason for the starting percentages: HSX and some other sources, are collectively predicting in the range of $77 - $80 million for Fri, Sat, and Sun as of 06/04/08.

 
Forecast history %
$70 million or Less...
0%
$70 to $75 million
0%
$76 to $80 million
1%
$81 to $85 million
2%
$86 million or More...
97%
Settled as $86 million or More... on Mon 21st Jul 2008 12:16am PST

Suspend date: Fri 18th Jul 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 21st Jul 2008 12:16am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 18th Jul 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: $70 million or Less...: 5%, $70 to $75 million: 27%, $76 to $80 million: 36%, $81 to $85 million: 27%, $86 million or More...: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 4th Jun 2008 3:15pm PST by lucidstates
Suspended Fri 18th Jul 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 20th Jul 2008 3:35pm PST by lucidstates: Please Settle this question with the winner being: "$86 million or More..."

This film did an all time highest opening weekend box office of $155.34 MILLION!!

http://www.the-numbers.com/charts/today.php

Thanks,

Lucidstates
Settled as '$86 million or More...' Mon 21st Jul 2008 12:16am PST by tisha[Admin]: This film did an all time highest opening weekend box office of $155.34 MILLION!!

http://www.the-numbers.com/charts/today.php

Suspend date: Fri 18th Jul 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 21st Jul 2008 12:16am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 18th Jul 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (166)

1 year ago
innerdemons predicted $86 million or More... (H$500 at 97%)
1 year ago
thefishfamily1 predicted $86 million or More... (H$383 at 98%)
1 year ago
thefishfamily1 predicted $86 million or More... (H$100 at 98%)
1 year ago
m3ga predicted $81 to $85 million (H$5 at 1%)
1 year ago
glcooper predicted $81 to $85 million (H$20 at 1%)

Comments (10)

This movies gonna be freakin' HUGE!!!
posted 1 year ago
HSX Update:

As of 06/19/08 12:08am

The Dark Knight expected to open with $76.286 million
posted 1 year ago
  3 tisha[Admin]
@lucidstates sorry hope u don't mind but I moved some of your background info to settlement details so I could externally market the site
posted 1 year ago
  4 scott
As of today expected to do 130M this weekend and is already selling out in advance. Probably will be one of the biggest openings in history.
posted 1 year ago
@Tisha, it's cool, whatever you gotta do :-D I'm just happy to be involved :-D
posted 1 year ago
I love it when they ask, Will The Running Time Turn Some Off? HAH! Lemme think, Umm, Titanic :-D
posted 1 year ago
WOW!!! BIGGEST SINGLE DAY GROOS IN HISTORY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

$66.4 MILLION for Friday ALONE!!!

This film should become the Highest Ever Grossing film in an opening weekend!!!
posted 1 year ago
WOW!!! All time highest ever opening weekend Box Office of $155.340 MILLION!!!!!!!!
posted 1 year ago
  9 scott
Shoulda bet more than 6900 on it...
posted 1 year ago
Hahaha, CONGRATS scott :-D YOU DA MAN! I lost a few hundred on this one! MAN was I frikkin' wrong!! :-P
posted 1 year ago

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