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Will the first letter of Sunday's New York Times front page headline be a vowel or consonant?

Settled as Consonant

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Vowel
45%
Consonant
55%
Activity: H$11,682
Settled as Consonant on Sun 8th Jun 9:46am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As visible at: http://www.nytimes.com/pages/todayspaper/index.html.

The "Front page headline" is defined as the text accompanying and displayed above the largest photograph on the front page of Sunday's print edition.

Suspend date: Sat 7th Jun 6:59pm PDT

Settlement date: Sun 8th Jun 9:46am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Jun 6:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Vowel: 50%, Consonant: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 4th Jun 7:49pm PDT by swilson[Power User]
Suspended Sat 7th Jun 6:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 8th Jun 8:45am PDT by newswrangler[Power User]:
This information has been posted to the comments thread of this market:

The Settlement Details for this market state:
"The "Front page headline" is defined as the text accompanying and displayed above the largest photograph on the front page of Sunday's print edition."

There is no text above the largest photo in today's, Sunday, New York Times (NYC Edition) ... the text appears below the largest photo.

My 'common sense' hit is that this ought settle using the text below ... otherwise, I guess, it could be voided.

(First letter is a consonant: "T")

<http://www.nytimes.com/pages/pageone/scannat/index.html>
Settlement requested Sun 8th Jun 9:38am PDT by youbet: http://www.nytimes.com/indexes/2008/06/08/pageone/scan/index.html

Consonant. " T "
Settled as 'Consonant' Sun 8th Jun 9:46am PDT by robuk[Admin]: http://www.nytimes.com/indexes/2008/06/08/pageone/scan/index.html
The main front page headline accompanying the photo reads 'The long Road to a Clinton Exit'.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As visible at: http://www.nytimes.com/pages/todayspaper/index.html. ... read all

 

Predictions (59)

59 predictions

11 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Consonant (H$300 at 54%)
11 weeks ago
theonecalledmichael predicted Vowel (H$500 at 45%)
11 weeks ago
pacobell predicted Vowel (H$100 at 41%)
11 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Consonant (H$100 at 59%)
11 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Consonant (H$100 at 58%)
more

Comments (15)

  1 bcguelph
Great question.
posted 12 weeks ago
Is this the National Edition or the New York City Edition?
posted 12 weeks ago
  3 bcguelph
wow. newswrangler is hard core!
posted 12 weeks ago
We had problems with this question in the past. One thing is that the Sunday Times often has three headlines across the top. The left and right are regular news, and in the middle is the feature article, usually with a picture. So you (swilson) should flag this question and suggest which of the 3 would be considered the front page headline.
posted 12 weeks ago
  5 swilson[Power User]
infernal, the settlement rules now state and have stated in previous editions, "The "Front page headline" is defined as the text accompanying and displayed above the largest photograph on the front page of Sunday's print edition."

Does this work? Let me know if you think it should be further clarified.
posted 12 weeks ago
  6 robuk[Admin]
Do we need to clarify National Edition vs. New York City Edition?
posted 12 weeks ago
@swilson sorry. i missed that. i should have read the settlement details before opining.

does the edition need to be specified? probably. i'd vote for National, but either is fine by me. it's probably just wise to specify one, so that arguments don't arise, if the editions have different headlines.
posted 12 weeks ago
More often than not, the differences between the National and New York City editions don't effect the front page.
(other than the small type indicating the edition ;-)
That said, I'd specify one or the other.

posted 12 weeks ago
  9 swilson[Power User]
There's only one visible at the link specified (Settlement details (some hidden): As visible at: http://www.nytimes.com/pages/todayspaper/index.html). I do not know if that is the NYC or National edition but it's the one I'm referring to.
posted 12 weeks ago
  10 swilson[Power User]
I see you can view editions at that link. The first to be displayed is the NYC edition. Let's use that one.
posted 12 weeks ago
  11 robuk[Admin]
Thanks for clearing that up swilson.
posted 12 weeks ago
You know, it could be a number.... so if it is, do we settle based on the 2nd character, which is effectively the first letter?
posted 12 weeks ago
  13 swilson[Power User]
tocm, good point, and excellent solution, yes.
posted 12 weeks ago
The Settlement Details for this market state:
"The "Front page headline" is defined as the text accompanying and displayed above the largest photograph on the front page of Sunday's print edition."

There is no text above the largest photo in today's, Sunday, New York Times (NYC Edition) ... the text appears below the largest photo.

My 'common sense' hit is that this ought settle using the text below ... otherwise, I guess, it could be voided.

(First letter is a consonant: "T")

<http://www.nytimes.com/pages/pageone/scannat/index.html>
posted 11 weeks ago
i was betting on "oil" or "obama", technically, the first letter above the fold is a vowel, but i'm not gonna argue over it...
posted 11 weeks ago

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