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Will the thief who stole Kurt Cobain ashes be caught by the 15 of July 2008?

Settled as No

No news suggesting a thief has been caught


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
1%
No
99%
Activity: H$77,721
Settled as No on Wed 16th Jul 1:51am PDT

Suspend date: Mon 14th Jul 8:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 16th Jul 1:51am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 14th Jul 8:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Wed 4th Jun 7:51pm PDT by abbey
Suspended Mon 14th Jul 8:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 15th Jul 7:47am PDT by glcooper: is there a reason for this suspension?
Settlement requested Wed 16th Jul 12:41am PDT by kismet: http://news.google.co.uk/news?oe=utf-8&rls=org.mozilla%3Aen-US%3Aofficial&client=firefox-a&um=1&tab=wn&hl=en&q=Kurt+Cobain+ashes&btnG=Search+News

We have gone past the cut off date of 15th July and no news agency is reporting that a thief has been caught settling the question as 'No'.
Settled as 'No' Wed 16th Jul 1:51am PDT by tisha[Admin]: No news suggesting a thief has been caught

Suspend date: Mon 14th Jul 8:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 16th Jul 1:51am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 14th Jul 8:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (78)

78 predictions

20 weeks ago
alison78 predicted No (H$9,000 at 98%)
20 weeks ago
l_one predicted No (H$18 at 98%)
20 weeks ago
talkinggoat predicted No (H$2,182 at 98%)
20 weeks ago
kismet predicted No (H$629 at 98%)
20 weeks ago
kismet predicted No (H$10,000 at 97%)
more

Comments (3)

@abbey -- do you have a link for this? (User's like to learn about questions, and understand why the likelihood of outcomes are the way they are ;-)
posted 25 weeks ago
  2 chatarra
As said earlier - adding a link is a good idea. It makes the question more enjoyable.
Here is one:
http://www.mtv.co.uk/channel/mtvuk/news/02062008/423053/kurt_cobains_ashes_stolen
posted 25 weeks ago
  3 abbey
Sorry guys new at this, Ill endeavour 2 do this for you in the future.
posted 25 weeks ago

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