clarky
Will Twitter go down during Apple Developer Conference on June 9th 08?
Predictions made after the start of the conference have been voided
Background:
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
| Yes |
| |||
| No |
|
- Activity: H$29,665 |
- Predictions: 69 |
Comments: 11
Suspend date: Tue 10th Jun 2008 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Mon 9th Jun 2008 4:17pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 9th Jun 2008 10am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
clarky stephen
: well the conference is over
i checked twice during the conference and did not see it down
in the conference someone says it did but i think that was a hoax bc they didnt bet anything themselves
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: http://blog.twitter.com/2008/06/we-made-it.html
Says they made it through.
Back void bets to posting at 12:22 Pacific Time. (market suspended)
nigeleccles
: Predictions made after the start of the conference have been voided nigeleccles: Twitter didn't go down however a small percentage of users did lose connectivity for a period. We had to make a call on this one but this minor outage doesn't really compare to previous complete failures. 
Suspend date: Tue 10th Jun 2008 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Mon 9th Jun 2008 4:17pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 9th Jun 2008 10am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (69)
scoopboy
predicted No (H$328 at 69%)
andyswanComments (11)
Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...
Related Tags
"About 4% of requests during this time did return the page that asks folks to wait a few minutes and try again. However, we learned a lot during this stress test and that will translate to better performance down the line."
Does this not count as down...?
http://blog.twitter.com/2008/06/we-made-it.html
sure sounds like yes to me. when i couldn't access twitter, and friends across the country couldn't, I count that as down. Even if it was brief, it was down.
So the blog suggests they did fine during the keynote address, but they did go down afterwards... I was thinking the market was only for the 2 hour keynote, but the market does actually say the 'conference' which goes on all week (?). So the fact that it went down after Job's talk actually might settle this as yes... Sorry if my settlement request earlier was in error.
Here's the blog again and another that makes it clear that it DID go down after the keynote for an extended period of time:
http://blog.twitter.com/2008/06/we-made-it.html
http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/5/wwdc_casualty_twitter_of_course
It did go down.
It is a close decision. The literal interpretation would be probably be Yes but I thought it better to interprete the spirit of the question. Escalate to Get Satisfaction?
Please log in or join to add a comment