Created Thu 5th Jun 5:01am PDT by 
clarky
All questions » Technology » Internet » clarky Will Twitter go down during Apple Developer Conference on June 9th 08?
Settled as No
Predictions made after the start of the conference have been voided
Background:
If it's going to go down again, this is it! World Wide Apple Developer Conference....
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Activity: H$29,665
Settled as No on Mon 9th Jun 5:17pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Tue 10th Jun 8:59am PDT
Settlement date: Mon 9th Jun 5:17pm PDT
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 9th Jun 11am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Thu 5th Jun 5:01am PDT by clarky
clarky
Settlement requested Mon 9th Jun 12:55pm PDT by stephen: well the conference is over
i checked twice during the conference and did not see it down
in the conference someone says it did but i think that was a hoax bc they didnt bet anything themselves
stephen: well the conference is over
i checked twice during the conference and did not see it down
in the conference someone says it did but i think that was a hoax bc they didnt bet anything themselves
Suspended Mon 9th Jun 1:46pm PDT by 
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: Suspended pending settlement
jenniandboys: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Mon 9th Jun 1:46pm PDT by jenniandboys: http://blog.twitter.com/2008/06/we-made-it.html
Says they made it through.
Back void bets to posting at 12:22 Pacific Time. (market suspended)
jenniandboys: http://blog.twitter.com/2008/06/we-made-it.html
Says they made it through.
Back void bets to posting at 12:22 Pacific Time. (market suspended)
Settled as 'No' Mon 9th Jun 5:17pm PDT by 
nigeleccles: Predictions made after the start of the conference have been voided
nigeleccles: Predictions made after the start of the conference have been voided
Clarified Wed 11th Jun 8:07am PDT by nigeleccles: Twitter didn't go down however a small percentage of users did lose connectivity for a period. We had to make a call on this one but this minor outage doesn't really compare to previous complete failures.
nigeleccles: Twitter didn't go down however a small percentage of users did lose connectivity for a period. We had to make a call on this one but this minor outage doesn't really compare to previous complete failures.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
Predictions (69)
69 predictions
scoopboy
andyswan
valornhonor![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Yes (H$500 at 51%)
jensir
thepeoplegeekllc
mdigirolComments (11)
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"About 4% of requests during this time did return the page that asks folks to wait a few minutes and try again. However, we learned a lot during this stress test and that will translate to better performance down the line."
Does this not count as down...?
http://blog.twitter.com/2008/06/we-made-it.html
sure sounds like yes to me. when i couldn't access twitter, and friends across the country couldn't, I count that as down. Even if it was brief, it was down.
So the blog suggests they did fine during the keynote address, but they did go down afterwards... I was thinking the market was only for the 2 hour keynote, but the market does actually say the 'conference' which goes on all week (?). So the fact that it went down after Job's talk actually might settle this as yes... Sorry if my settlement request earlier was in error.
Here's the blog again and another that makes it clear that it DID go down after the keynote for an extended period of time:
http://blog.twitter.com/2008/06/we-made-it.html
http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/5/wwdc_casualty_twitter_of_course
It did go down.
It is a close decision. The literal interpretation would be probably be Yes but I thought it better to interprete the spirit of the question. Escalate to Get Satisfaction?
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