Created Thu 5th Jun 10:41am PDT by 
swilson![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » swilson 
What color will the new first lady wear to the next US Presidential Inauguration?
Current forecast: Other (34% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Other with a probability of 34% (unchanged in last 1 day)
Most likely, you're guessing on what the main color Michelle Obama or Cindy McCain would wear. Although, I suppose a lot could happen in the 20-some weeks before the elections.
For the record, I'd like to suspend this when the polls close on election day November 4th to add an extra element of suspense. After all, not knowing who is going to the Inauguration is half the fun.
Now the rules as best I can define them:
"Main" color is the predominate color of whatever the new First Lady is wearing. Should she wear what appears to be equal parts of two colors, this should be settled as "Other". Also, if the color is unidentifyable in our modern color wheel, this should be settled as "Other". If the First Lady does not attend the Inauguration or does not wear anything, this should be settled as "Other". If the current President is unable to finish his current term and the current VP or someone else is inaugurated in a mid term Inauguration, that also counts.
For the record, I'd like to suspend this when the polls close on election day November 4th to add an extra element of suspense. After all, not knowing who is going to the Inauguration is half the fun.
Now the rules as best I can define them:
"Main" color is the predominate color of whatever the new First Lady is wearing. Should she wear what appears to be equal parts of two colors, this should be settled as "Other". Also, if the color is unidentifyable in our modern color wheel, this should be settled as "Other". If the First Lady does not attend the Inauguration or does not wear anything, this should be settled as "Other". If the current President is unable to finish his current term and the current VP or someone else is inaugurated in a mid term Inauguration, that also counts.
Make your prediction!
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White or shade of white |
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Black or shade of black |
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Blue or shade of blue |
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Red or shade of red |
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Green or shade of green |
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Peach or pink |
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Other |
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Activity: H$2,213
Question suspends in 8 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 6:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
White or shade of white: 13%, Black or shade of black: 13%, Blue or shade of blue: 13%, Red or shade of red: 13%, Green or shade of green: 13%, Peach or pink: 13%, Other: 22%
Action history:
Created Thu 5th Jun 10:41am PDT by swilson
swilson
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
Get widget!New!Predictions (20)
20 predictions
stactimes
valornhonor
smidge76
cognos
infernalmachine![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
predicted Other (H$100 at 34%)
destry
bayoubear
jenniandboys
newswranglerComments (5)
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