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Will the U.S. Get a higher medal tally than China in the 2008 Summer Games?

Settled as Yes

US = 110
China = 100

http://www.nbcolympics.com/medals/index.html

Background:

The US has won more metals than China in the past 6 Summer Olympics. They beat China by 4 gold medals in Athens (39 medals overall), by 9 gold medals in Sydney (33 medals overall), and by 28 gold medals in Atlanta (51 medals overall); but now China is on its home turf. China’s pride is heavily invested in these games and they have been working hard to stack the deck in their favor. Although the US will likely continue to dominate in Athletics and Swimming, China has a good chance to sweep Diving, Table Tennis, Rowing and Sailing. It should be a very close race and one to certainly follow (and bet on!)
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
77%
No
23%
Activity: H$189,157
Settled as Yes on Sun 24th Aug 1:59pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sat 16th Aug 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Sun 24th Aug 1:59pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 16th Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 5th Jun 3:26pm PDT by abbey
Suspended Sat 16th Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 24th Aug 12:22pm PDT by newsie: The US ends up on top of the medal count.
Settled as 'Yes' Sun 24th Aug 1:59pm PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: US = 110
China = 100

http://www.nbcolympics.com/medals/index.html
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (305)

305 predictions

3 weeks ago
bdvcoastal predicted Yes (H$200 at 66%)
3 weeks ago
light predicted Yes (H$1,500 at 65%)
3 weeks ago
light predicted Yes (H$62 at 64%)
3 weeks ago
rgsmith321 predicted Yes (H$800 at 63%)
3 weeks ago
mrmike predicted Yes (H$40 at 62%)
more

Comments (7)

Chinese squad = 639 athletes, U.S. 7% smaller @ 596. Fascinating that the center of our NBA team in Houston, Yao Ming, is the tallest and one of the most easily recognizable athletes for the China side.
posted 5 weeks ago
I'm going to be posting some thoughts on the Olympics in the Hubdub blog over the next week. Check it out! The first installment is here:
http://blog.hubdub.com/2008/08/01/its-8-days-until-the-beijing-olympics-are-you-ready/
posted 5 weeks ago
  3 tisha[Admin]
awesome blog post, thanks jenni!
posted 4 weeks ago
  4 abbey
Thanks for the great background this question.
posted 4 weeks ago
  5 tisha[Admin]
Check out the market line on this question - it's obviously very close! I've predicted China will take the home town advantage ...
posted 4 weeks ago
  6 abbey
As of this morning 11 Aug, U.S leads China by 3 medals.
posted 3 weeks ago
  7 smidge76
I was surprised nobody had put this link up yet. For those trying to follow along:
NBC's complete Olympic medal standings updated daily:
http://www.nbcolympics.com/medals/index.html
posted 2 weeks ago

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