
Will a video or tape of Michelle Obama saying "blame whitey" turn up before the election?
(To save space in question details, please see official definitions of racism in first comment below.)
While Michelle Obama is not running for President, Barak Obama has stated that she is his most trusted adviser. As such, her opinions and influence become more important as a potential first lady.
Is the existence of a racist audio tape a reality that will hurt Barak Obama's chances of becoming President? Or is this an complete falsehood concocted by the Republicans to discredit Obama's campaign?
Possible example of alleged racism:
The tape exists:
http://noquarterusa.net/blog/2008/06/02/michelle-obama-and-louis-farrakhan-take-on-whitey/
The tape doesn't exist:
http://www.chron.com/commons/persona.html?newspaperUserId=desperado&plckController=PersonaBlog&plckScript=personaScript&plckElementId=personaDest&plckPersonaPage=BlogViewPost&plckPostId=Blog%3AdesperadoPost%3A22b7f3fe-24ad-4bc5-868c-b3798f622612
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
I would prefer this to be settled with major mainstream news source using words such as racist, or racism in a headline or first paragraph of any major news event concerning this question. Obscure bloggers looking for net traffic do not count.
I wanted to be more specific about words (i.e. ...blame whitey) but some people felt it I was being unfair to a potential First Lady, since this is currently only an allegation and no proof has been furnished.
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 5:59pm PST
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%
Action history:
Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 5:59pm PST
more info...
Predictions (51)
51 predictions
Comments (12)
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New in Politics » US Election 2008




Wikipedia has a broad based definition using multiple sources to describe racism.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Racism
According to the Oxford English Dictionary, racism is a belief or ideology that all members of each racial group possess characteristics or abilities specific to that race, especially to distinguish it as being either superior or inferior to another racial group or racial groups. The Merriam-Webster's Dictionary defines racism as a belief that race is the primary determinant of human traits and capacities and that racial differences produce an inherent superiority of a particular racial group, and that it is also the prejudice based on such a belief. The Macquarie Dictionary defines racism as: "the belief that human races have distinctive characteristics which determine their respective cultures, usually involving the idea that one's own race is superior and has the right to rule or dominate others."
http://johnrussell.newsvine.com/_news/2008/06/02/1532427-larry-johnson-clinton-blogger-promise-of-michelle-obamafarrakhan-video-falls-flat-
Also, your question has become much more subjective now. The problem with ponography/racism is that although 'we know it when we see it', everyone draws the line differently. Personally, I'm fine with letting it ride and keeping our fingers crossed, but it does open up the market to more ... discussion...
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
I work (4) 12's over the next 4 days and I know myself. I need to be careful on how I word things after a long day. Sometimes it comes across more grumpy / cranky than I really intend.
I notice that this question and the one you had voided are remarkably similar.
One thing I did notice though is that this question has fairly specific details in the settlement details.
I am not sure if yours did or not because that information has been replaced on yours with the reason of it going void.
Perhaps if you tied your market to a news story that suggested such a thing might happen,or the market could be created to be more specific?
The creator asked for the re-edit, two weeks ago and the last prediction was made two weeks ago. So I will red-edit the market. Sorry I'd missed this I usually try to keep up on all the markets, but I'll admit as our userbase has grown so has the volume of comments. Anyway though the markets now's been edited. If any user wants there predictions voided due to the confusion please contact and I will do so.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
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