Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

Will any of these personalities say into a camera this year..."I'm Going to Disney World!"

Current forecast: Any other outcome, including none (88% chance20%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Any other outcome, including none with a probability of 88% (down 20% in last 1 day)

From time to time the Disney company has captured winning personalities' reply to their question of..."Hey XXX you just won the XXX, now what are you going to do?!"

With an answer of, "I'm going to Disney World!" Will it happen again this year?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

MVP of NBA Finals
2%
MVP of World Series
2%
Any US Gold Medalist
2%
Next elected US President
2%
Any combination of the above
4%
Any other outcome, including none
88%
Activity: H$14,663
Question suspends in 3 weeks

Suspend date: Mon 29th Dec 11:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: MVP of NBA Finals: 10%, MVP of World Series: 10%, Any US Gold Medalist: 10%, Next elected US President : 10%, Any combination of the above: 10%, Any other outcome, including none: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 5th Jun 10:32pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]

Suspend date: Mon 29th Dec 11:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (28)

28 predictions

3 weeks ago
pippi1500 predicted Any other outcome, including none (H$50 at 61%)
7 weeks ago
youbet predicted Any other outcome, including none (H$100 at 52%)
13 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted Any other outcome, including none (H$1,000 at 56%)
14 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted Any other outcome, including none (H$4 at 51%)
24 weeks ago
graphsman predicted Any other outcome, including none (H$20 at 51%)
more

Comments (9)

For purposes of clarity, not just anyone's private video camera, to settle for as a YES the video would have to be incorporated into a Disney television commercial shown on the Disney Channel or one of the follwoing networks; ABC, CBS, NBC or Fox.
posted 25 weeks ago
  2 onedave[Power User]
So if Nigel says he is going to Disney World, will this question be settled as "Any other outcome?"
posted 25 weeks ago
  3 onedave[Power User]
assuming that Nigel is not the World Series MVP.
posted 25 weeks ago
Yes onedave, ... If Nigel is the only one that makes this comment, and none of the other do then it would settle for "Any other outcome, including none"... or even if he doesn't say it... Then again, if Nigel should happen to be a Gold Medalist at the Summer Games...
posted 25 weeks ago
  5 onedave[Power User]
So, if Nigel and a US gold medalist make the comment, how will this market settle?

I think Nigel lives in the UK, so he couldn't be a US gold medalist or the next elected president. That is why I suggested that he might be the World Series MVP.
posted 25 weeks ago
aw nuts, I should have anticipated that, although this usually follows a big obvious winning event.
posted 25 weeks ago
  8 onedave[Power User]
Of course the article says she wants to go to DisneyLAND, not DisneyWORLD.
posted 25 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more