Will Nigel remember his anniversary today (6/6)?
Whilst he did remember it, I only received a card, no flowers or gift before midnight on 6th. Certainly less than £5. Sorry for anyone who lost money! (p.s. he was back from London)
Background:>
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/06/04/AR2008060400939.html
http://venturebeat.com/2008/06/04/punditwatch-interesting-fun-but-slightly-flawed/
http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/6/punditwatch_techcrunch_always_wrong_sai_usually_right
But Nigel has something else important going on.. Will he remember that today is his 5th anniversary?
To settle as yes, he must give a card, flowers or gift (worth more than 10$ or 5pounds -- a box of cereal does not count!) to Lesley before midnight tonight (UK time).
Hubdub staff are NOT permitted to bet on this question although they should feel free to harass him about it!
Nigel, here are some hints:
5th WEDDING ANNIVERSARY
Traditional Anniversary Gift: Wood
Modern Anniversary Gift: Silverware
Travel Anniversary Gift Ideas: Airline Tickets, Cruise
Settlement details:
As determined by Lesley.
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Sat 7th Jun 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 8th Jun 11:32am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Jun 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%
Action history:
Suspend date: Sat 7th Jun 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 8th Jun 11:32am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Jun 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (21)
21 predictions
Comments (24)
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259 settled, 15 voided




I'd stay with the wood option, hehe
as being NOT an Hubdub staff member, I am allowed to predict NO (prove me wrong, Nigel!)
Congrats!
PS...my wife forgot my birthday last year...remembered it 3 days later...
Btw, the gift ideas are just from one of those hallmark sites. I would personally be pretty pissed to get silverware for my anniversary (you reading this tri??).
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Anyone who stayed up and followed the SUPER USERS WARS last night would know that Nigel is in the US looking for new investment/investors for hubdub...Perhaps that has some bearing on this question...
(@Jenni... My first instinct was to Decline this challenge once I'd read the question!)
Randburg: I believe Nigel flew home quickly to get there on their anniversary; we will see, since Lesley knew of this market, she probably took pics as proof!
If this market was "gamed", somebody didn't do a very good job of it!
If I wrote a question saying "Will Derek Jeter hit a home run on 6/8/08?" and he saw it, it wouldn't change the outcomes, now would it?
All one has to do is research hubdub and conspire a well timed crime to make alot of hubdub dollars.
Of course the rules of gaming still apply so if any hubdub member became associated with the crime publicly we would have no choice to subject them to the rules regarding gaming.
I am by no means comparing what this man has done to being a crime and I pray that his wife absolutely does not treat it that way, because he knows full well he is going to have to cut her some slack next time she does 'one of those things'.
I feel it is so rare in fact that it would not take very long for a gamer to draw attention to themselves and be found out.
"because he knows full well he is going to have to cut her some slack next time she does 'one of those things'. "
p.s. If any of you knew Nigel as I do, you would realise that if he HAD seen the market, I probably wouldn't even have got a card! I'm not saying he's difficult, but... ;-)
Aawwwwww, married life is sooo pleasant sometimes :-D
I didn't realize you got a card.
:-P
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