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Will Obama announce he has selected Hillary Clinton as his VP running mate before 6/11/08?

Settled as No

no announcement as of yet


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
6%
No
94%
Activity: H$112,787
Settled as No on Tue 10th Jun 8:13pm PDT

Suspend date: Tue 10th Jun 11am PDT Settlement date: Tue 10th Jun 8:13pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 10th Jun 11am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Fri 6th Jun 9:32am PDT by markov
Suspended Tue 10th Jun 11am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Tue 10th Jun 8:13pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: no announcement as of yet

Suspend date: Tue 10th Jun 11am PDT Settlement date: Tue 10th Jun 8:13pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 10th Jun 11am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (68)

68 predictions

25 weeks ago
uno_mas predicted No (H$100 at 94%)
25 weeks ago
rdornelesg predicted No (H$100 at 94%)
25 weeks ago
stephmoreland predicted No (H$312 at 94%)
25 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted No (H$133 at 94%)
25 weeks ago
foxtrotter predicted No (H$100 at 92%)
more

Comments (9)

Markov, I just bet $5k on NO ... Thanks for the great Q man, and my future winnings :-D
posted 25 weeks ago
Okay, just put another $5k on NO ;-) I looove sure things :-D
posted 25 weeks ago
  3 onedave[Power User]
Will this be settled via the Spitzer rule?
posted 25 weeks ago
nope, he aint choosin' her...
posted 25 weeks ago
  5 stephen
yessss
my bday!!
posted 25 weeks ago
  6 bcguelph
Do you actually get anything back when you bet $5 on the 95% side. Seems like a no win bet!
posted 25 weeks ago
  7 bcguelph
Okay, I just tried it. A $5 bet gets you $5 if you are right. Not a useful bet.
posted 25 weeks ago
I bet $5 thousand, so I dunno about the $5 thing ;-P
posted 25 weeks ago
A H$5.00 prediction on "No" will (currently at 97.99%) yield $5.10 if successful.
While not displayed on your predictions page, the Settlement Notice you receive will show the H$0.10 gain.
posted 25 weeks ago

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