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In how many states will Obama win the popular vote?
Washington, Oregon, California, Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado, Minnnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, Pennslyvania, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, New York, New Jersey, Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Deleware, Maryland, DC, Massachusetts, Hawaii.
Background:
We're talking about actual votes...vote by vote...confirmed! If there's any doubt about outcomes, settlement will be delayed until results are made official by each state.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. Because Washington DC has electors it will also be counted as a "state"
Settled
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Obama wins less than 17 states |
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Obama wins 17-19 states |
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Obama wins 20-22 states |
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Obama wins 23-25 states |
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Obama wins 26-28 states |
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Obama wins 29-31 states |
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Obama wins 32 or more states |
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Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 8th Nov 7:56am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Obama wins less than 17 states: 6%, Obama wins 17-19 states: 14%, Obama wins 20-22 states: 20%, Obama wins 23-25 states: 20%, Obama wins 26-28 states: 20%, Obama wins 29-31 states: 14%, Obama wins 32 or more states: 6%
Action history:
bayoubear 
pitchedoutsideleg: North Carolina was number 29 for Obama, wasn't it? Can settle as 29-31regardless of Missouri.
http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/president/
destry: Washington, Oregon, California, Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado, Minnnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, Pennslyvania, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, New York, New Jersey, Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Deleware, Maryland, DC, Massachusetts, Hawaii.
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 8th Nov 7:56am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (254)
254 predictions
infernalmachine
maxime
sdassani
pwarren78
rightorwrong
onedave![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Obama wins 26-28 states (H$20 at 51%)
biloxibeachboyComments (8)
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New in Politics » US Election 2008
"Currently, the Electoral College is composed of 538 electors.[3] Each state has a number of electors equal to the number of its Senators and Representatives in the United States Congress. Additionally, the District of Columbia is given a number of electors equal to the number held by the smallest states.[4] U.S. territories are not represented in the Electoral College."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._Electoral_College
Regards,
Ryan
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