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Who will win the 2008-2009 Stanley Cup?

Current forecast: Other (25% chance1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Other with a probability of 25% (down 1% in last 1 day)

Now that the Red Wings won the Stanley Cup for this year, who do you think will win next year?


Settlement details: As reported by NHL.com.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Detroit Red Wings
23%
Pittsburgh Penguins
9%
Montreal Canadiens
7%
San Jose Sharks
15%
Ottawa Senators
3%
Anaheim Ducks
4%
Nashville Predators
2%
Philadelphia Flyers
10%
New Jersey Devils
3%
Other
25%
Activity: H$6,673
Question suspends in 25 weeks

Suspend date: Mon 1st Jun 2009 8:59am PDT (25 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Detroit Red Wings: 17%, Pittsburgh Penguins: 14%, Montreal Canadiens: 8%, San Jose Sharks: 8%, Ottawa Senators: 7%, Anaheim Ducks: 5%, Nashville Predators: 4%, Philadelphia Flyers: 3%, New Jersey Devils: 2%, Other: 32%

Action history:

Created Sat 7th Jun 4:49pm PDT by rossmunce

Suspend date: Mon 1st Jun 2009 8:59am PDT (25 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (71)

71 predictions

4 days ago
dillon16 predicted San Jose Sharks (H$100 at 14%)
1 week ago
roguesoldierb predicted Pittsburgh Penguins (H$100 at 8%)
1 week ago
ally1219 predicted Detroit Red Wings (H$20 at 23%)
1 week ago
johnd predicted Other (H$20 at 25%)
1 week ago
emmittsdaman predicted Nashville Predators (H$20 at 2%)
more

Comments (3)

@ rossmunce -- Please send a flag (which will go to the sports category editor) advising what you want to do with the Suspend Date / Settlement Date for this market.

A Suspend Date can no longer be set for longer than 7 days earlier than a Settlement Date -- which in this case is, intuitively, longer than 7 days ;-)
posted 25 weeks ago
  2 rossmunce
Thanks, newswrangler. I flagged it for review. Did I do the thing with the percents correctly in the question? Was I supposed to make them all equal?
posted 25 weeks ago
It's pretty tough to assign those percentages without knowing what's going to happen in the off-season, but I'd say the percentages look pretty fair Rossmunce. Besides, the market will adjust itself accordingly as the season progresses :)
posted 25 weeks ago

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