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Which region will win the most boxing gold medals during the 2008 Olympic Games?
http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/BX/C95/BX0000000.shtml
The result was known after the first final of Saturday. There were already 4 finals between "other" states (i.e. not Cuba or Former Soviet Union). When Thai boxer won the match against his Cuban opponent (the match started 19:01 Beijing Time) it became certain that there will be at least 5 golds for the other states. Settlement time will be set for start of that match (which is aug 23rd 4:00am PST).
Background:
If hubdub had been around in 2004, here is how the 2004 version of the question would have been settled, based on http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boxing_at_the_2004_Summer_Olympics
Cuba won 5 gold medals.
Former Soviet Union won 4 (Russia 3, Kazakhstan 1)
Everybody else won 2 (USA 1, Thailand 1)
The question would have been settled as 'Cuba'
Eleven gold medals should be awarded.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Cuba |
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Former Soviet Union |
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Everybody else |
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Tie between two or more regions |
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Suspend date: Sat 23rd Aug 9am PDT Settlement date: Sat 23rd Aug 10:06am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 23rd Aug 5am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Cuba: 40%, Former Soviet Union: 32%, Everybody else: 16%, Tie between two or more regions: 12%
Action history:
onedave 
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: market will suspend prior to final 6 gold medal matches on 8/24 
mrperfkt: http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/BX/C95/BX0000000.shtml
The result was known after the first final of Saturday. There were already 4 finals between "other" states (i.e. not Cuba or Former Soviet Union). When Thai boxer won the match against his Cuban opponent (the match started 19:01 Beijing Time) it became certain that there will be at least 5 golds for the other states. Settlement time will be set for start of that match (which is aug 23rd 4:00am PST).
Suspend date: Sat 23rd Aug 9am PDT Settlement date: Sat 23rd Aug 10:06am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 23rd Aug 5am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
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By my count, The former Soviet Union accounts for 20 of those standing.
The Cubans still have 7.
That means the rest have 61 still standing.
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