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How many times will McCain mention "Obama" at the GOP Convention?

Settled as 5-7

For this market Barack Obama or Obama both count as "Obama"
The market refers to McCain's keynote speech


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

No Mention
6%
1-4
9%
5-7
20%
8-10
30%
11-16
23%
17+
13%
Activity: H$8,564
Settled as 5-7 on Sat 6th Sep 12:21pm PDT

Suspend date: Tue 2nd Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 6th Sep 12:21pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 2nd Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: No Mention: 5%, 1-4: 10%, 5-7: 20%, 8-10: 30%, 11-16: 30%, 17+: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 7th Jun 7:18pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Suspended Tue 2nd Sep 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 5th Sep 7:52pm PDT by laaleegag: Convention is over
Settled as '5-7' Sat 6th Sep 12:21pm PDT by destry[Admin]
Settlement requested Sat 6th Sep 1:03pm PDT by swilson: http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/republican_race/2008/09/04/2008-09-04_sen_john_mccains_speech_at_the_republica.html?page=7

I put the text into Excel and created a formula to count - the answer is 6.
I have the spreadsheet if you'd like to have it.

Suspend date: Tue 2nd Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 6th Sep 12:21pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 2nd Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (65)

65 predictions

13 weeks ago
jessemarket predicted 8-10 (H$250 at 28%)
13 weeks ago
joaoxxx predicted 8-10 (H$50 at 26%)
13 weeks ago
laaleegag predicted 17+ (H$50 at 13%)
13 weeks ago
1150 predicted 11-16 (H$50 at 25%)
13 weeks ago
1150 predicted 17+ (H$50 at 12%)
more

Comments (3)

This could make for a good "In-Play" question. The added excitement could possibly even keep McCain awake.
posted 25 weeks ago
  2 jackpot11
I think Obama mentioned McCain almost this much in one single speech, and McCain loves to talk about Obama more than anything else.
posted 13 weeks ago
  3 geoff
This would make an excellent drinking game...
posted 13 weeks ago

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