Created Sun 8th Jun 3:46pm PDT by

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How much will "Wall-E" earn in its opening weekend? (June 27th, 28th & 29th)

Settled as $61 to $65 million

http://www.imdb.com/chart/

Background:

This question asks, how much do you think the new Disney/Pixar animated summer blockbuster movie "Wall-E" will earn in its first three days of release at the North American Box Office (June 27th, 28th and 29th, 2008)? Predictions settles as such: If for example it earns $70.999 million, then the "$66 to $70 million" WILL WIN, not the "$71 to $75 million". It must at least reach $71 million even, in order for the "$71 to $75 million" prediction to win. Reason for the starting percentages: HSX and some other sources, are collectively predicting in the range of $65 - $70 million for Fri, Sat, and Sun as of 06/08/08.

Settlement details: As reported by www.the-numbers.com or another major mainstream news source.

Forecast history, %

Zoom in

Settled

$60 million or Less...

$61 to $65 million

$66 to $70 million

$71 to $75 million

20%

$76 million or More...

62%

Activity: H$34,539

Settled as $61 to $65 million on Mon 30th Jun 11:49pm PDT

Suspend date: Sat 28th Jun 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 30th Jun 11:49pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 28th Jun 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: $60 million or Less...: 1%, $61 to $65 million: 20%, $66 to $70 million: 40%, $71 to $75 million: 34%, $76 million or More...: 5%

Action history:

Created Sun 8th Jun 3:46pm PDT by

lucidstates

Suspended Sat 28th Jun 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sun 29th Jun 2:06pm PDT by

jenniandboys [Admin]

: Weeken6d estimates say 62k but sttongly suggest we wait until actuals come in mon evening. (this settlement request is actually a request for you to ignore other requests)

Settlement requested Mon 30th Jun 2:10pm PDT by

destry [Admin]

: Actuals: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2008&wknd=26&p=.htm

Settlement requested Mon 30th Jun 3:10pm PDT by

lucidstates: You can now settle this Q.

Here are the official numbers:
#1 ... $63,087,526 ... WALL-E
This means that Wall-E did not top $63.1 million, so please settle this with the winning prediction being "$61 to $65 million."

Thanks :-)

lucidstates

Settlement requested Mon 30th Jun 3:43pm PDT by

deelilley: Wall-E = 60+

http://movies.yahoo.com/mv/boxoffice/

:D

Settled as '$61 to $65 million' Mon 30th Jun 11:49pm PDT by

tisha

: http://www.imdb.com/chart/

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Predictions (150)

150 predictions

22 weeks ago

estanislawski predicted $76 million or More... (H$100 at 61%)

22 weeks ago

swilson predicted $71 to $75 million (H$100 at 19%)

22 weeks ago

valornhonor [Power User]

predicted $76 million or More... (H$1,499 at 56%)

22 weeks ago

johnd predicted $71 to $75 million (H$100 at 25%)

22 weeks ago

obliverous predicted $71 to $75 million (H$200 at 22%)

Comments (4)

lucidstates

This should most definitely be Pixars BIGGEST EVER opening movie!!!

posted 24 weeks ago

lucidstates

HSX Update:

As of 06/19/08 12:09am

Wall-E expected to open with $68.389 million

posted 23 weeks ago

lucidstates

Wall-E officially earned $63,087,526 at the North American Box Office. This means that the winning prediction was "$61 to $65 million" and with it last at 6%, whoever bet on this one should make a killing :-D
I didn't unfortunately :-( I bet on the "$71 to $75 million" and so I lost a couple grand.

posted 22 weeks ago

lucidstates

Official results:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080630/ap_en_mo/box_office;_ylt=AjNkCk9JSvxFEhwjgPSWhrVxFb8C

posted 22 weeks ago

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