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Will a Scot win Big Brother (UK) this year?

Settled as No

Rachel is Welsh
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rachel_Rice

Background:

Of the 16 contestants, there were 2 Scottish lads in the Big Brother house this summer. Dennis from Edinburgh and Michael from Ayrshire.

So, the odds should start at around 12% (although math never was my strongest subject). BUT everyone loves a Scotsman, don't they? So I'll start it at 15%.

See Dennis' Profile Here
See Michael's Profile Here

UPDATE (if rather late)

Dennis was thrown out quite early on for spitting or somesuch uncivilised nonsense. Mikey is still in it however, and may well get down to the last 3 just on the basis that he's so quiet you can barely tell he's there. Either way, the question on everybody's lips is surely 'when will this travesty of summertime TV end?', and possibly 'Why can't I seem to move away from the screen?'


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Not sure how long it'll run for so will re-set the suspend date when it's announced.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
14%
No
86%
Activity: H$13,033
Settled as No on Sat 6th Sep 11:58am PDT

Suspend date: Thu 4th Sep 3:59pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 6th Sep 11:58am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 4th Sep 3:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%

Action history:

Created Mon 9th Jun 3:12pm PDT by lesley[Admin]
Suspended Fri 1st Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Sat 2nd Aug 4:02am PDT by chris[Admin]: Because one of them is still in, and it's still on :(
Suspended Fri 8th Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Fri 15th Aug 4:56pm PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]: Finale show on Sept 5, 2008 (will suspend Sept 4 at 23:59 BST)
Suspended Thu 4th Sep 3:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Sat 6th Sep 11:58am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Rachel is Welsh
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rachel_Rice

Suspend date: Thu 4th Sep 3:59pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 6th Sep 11:58am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 4th Sep 3:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (29)

29 predictions

12 weeks ago
bency predicted No (H$100 at 86%)
13 weeks ago
iksor predicted No (H$20 at 89%)
14 weeks ago
timmy2000k predicted Yes (H$20 at 10%)
14 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted No (H$10 at 90%)
15 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted Yes (H$100 at 10%)
more

Comments (2)

Re-opening question to suspend at one minute to midnight Sept 4 (BST).
posted 15 weeks ago
Moved to Entertainment/TV Shows
posted 15 weeks ago

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