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Will the 3 US Contractors who are held hostage by the FARC be free by October 1, 2008

Settled as Yes

Wonderful news!

http://www.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUSN02404787

This is the first article I can find on the release. Timestamped 3.18pm EDT Jul 2nd. All predictions made after that time will be cancelled.

Background:

The three Americans, contractors for the US State Department, fell into the FARC's hands in February 2003 when they were on a flight in the southern department of Caqueta and the rebels downed their plane.

They have been held hostage ever since.

Recently the Colombian army reported seeing them, although they were not yet able to release them.

Read more at http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23839649-12335,00.html

Other links at
http://colombia.notablenotices.com/


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Only to be settled as true if they are released, escape, or are rescued alive.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
15%
No
85%
Activity: H$21,376
Settled as Yes on Thu 3rd Jul 6:24am PDT

Suspend date: Tue 30th Sep 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 3rd Jul 6:24am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 2nd Jul 12:15pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Mon 9th Jun 8:18pm PDT by notablenotices[Power User]
Suspended Wed 2nd Jul 3:49pm PDT by skipper[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Wed 2nd Jul 3:49pm PDT by skipper[Power User]: Settle as "Yes"
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,375481,00.html (market suspended)
Settled as 'Yes' Thu 3rd Jul 6:24am PDT by lesley[Admin]: Wonderful news!

http://www.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUSN02404787

This is the first article I can find on the release. Timestamped 3.18pm EDT Jul 2nd. All predictions made after that time will be cancelled.

Suspend date: Tue 30th Sep 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 3rd Jul 6:24am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 2nd Jul 12:15pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (29)

29 predictions

20 weeks ago
morosofos predicted Yes (H$210 at 18%)
20 weeks ago
morosofos predicted Yes (H$455 at 16%)
21 weeks ago
morosofos predicted Yes (H$50 at 14%)
23 weeks ago
ampersand predicted Yes (H$100 at 13%)
23 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted Yes (H$250 at 12%)
more

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