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Created Tue 10th Jun 6:11am PDT by lesley[Admin]
All questions » Politics » UK Politics » 

Will it be proven that Adam Thomas was the 22nd person from Bridgend to commit suicide in 18 months?

Settled as No

The inquest at Brakla, Bridgend on Fri Oct 10 came back with a verdict of Accidental Death
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/wales/mid_/7664137.stm

Background:

There's a wee town in Wales where house-prices must be doing particularly badly. I certainly wouldn't want to live there. Tragically, in the past 18 months, 21 young people from there have committed suicide.

Adam "fell" to his death from a balcony when he was on holiday in Turkey last week.

He knew at least 3 of the other people who have taken their own lives. Has he followed suit, or was this indeed just a terrible accident?

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/2100125/Bridgend-holidaymaker-falls-to-death-after-friends'-suicides.html


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

It must be reported that there is some evidence that it was suicide or that his family/girlfriend are certain it is suicide.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Yes
5%
No
95%
Activity: H$97,668
Settled as No on Sat 11th Oct 8:28am PDT

Suspend date: Sat 11th Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 11th Oct 8:28am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 10th Oct 9am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 65%

Action history:

Created Tue 10th Jun 6:11am PDT by lesley[Admin]
Suspended Fri 1st Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 1st Aug 5:30am PDT by orlin: There is no such reports

Answer is NO.
Settlement requested Fri 1st Aug 6:12am PDT by orlin: There is no reports of potential or suspicious suicide.
Apparently death is accidental.
Answer is NO.
Settlement requested Mon 4th Aug 10:45pm PDT by keyeshoveden: I can't find anything anywhere. It should be settled as no.
Settlement requested Tue 5th Aug 4:40pm PDT by frank2877: The suspend date was reached and nothing to indicate suicide has been proven.
Unsuspended Thu 7th Aug 2:20pm PDT by lesley[Admin]: The suspend date has been extended.
Suspended Sat 11th Oct 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Sat 11th Oct 8:28am PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]: The inquest at Brakla, Bridgend on Fri Oct 10 came back with a verdict of Accidental Death
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/wales/mid_/7664137.stm

Suspend date: Sat 11th Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 11th Oct 8:28am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 10th Oct 9am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (43)

43 predictions

7 weeks ago
bernardo predicted Yes (H$20 at 5%)
7 weeks ago
bency predicted No (H$100 at 95%)
8 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted No (H$8,000 at 93%)
10 weeks ago
ewanmcintosh predicted No (H$50 at 92%)
16 weeks ago
masterseer predicted No (H$100 at 88%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 orlin
Is there any particular reason for this question not to be settled for a fifth day after the end date?
posted 17 weeks ago
  2 lesley[Admin]
When I created this question, I didn't know when there would be an announcement made regarding the official verdict of death (accident or suicide). As none of us can find a report to answer this question, one must assume that the final verdict has not yet been made. (The suicide in February took 4 months to return a suicide verdict). Therefore, I think the only option with this question is to reopen it and extend the suspend date. I will set the date for October. If by that date there is no news on this question, then I think it's fair to settle it as "no" at that point.

Hope you're all ok with that.

Lesley x
posted 16 weeks ago

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