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Will Joe Biden be Obama's Vice Presidential nominee?

Settled as Yes

http://www.barackobama.com/index.php

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
73%
No
27%
Activity: H$195,747
Settled as Yes on Sat 23rd Aug 4:10am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Fri 22nd Aug 8:59pm PDT

Settlement date: Sat 23rd Aug 4:10am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 22nd Aug 8:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Tue 10th Jun 8:56am PDT by coolkraft
Suspended Fri 22nd Aug 8:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 23rd Aug 1:48am PDT by steez: show details
Settled as 'Yes' Sat 23rd Aug 4:10am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: show details
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (271)

271 predictions

7 weeks ago
destry[Admin] predicted Yes (H$9,000 at 88%)
7 weeks ago
ryanj[Admin] predicted Yes (H$50 at 85%)
7 weeks ago
jaspersoddity predicted No (H$50 at 15%)
7 weeks ago
ryanj[Admin] predicted Yes (H$275 at 77%)
7 weeks ago
oafarivar predicted Yes (H$300 at 77%)
more

Comments (25)

  1 rbrog77
I sooooooooooo want this to happen.
posted 10 weeks ago
  2 coolkraft
me tooooooooooooo
posted 10 weeks ago
  3 dragon01
If we "wish upon a star"...
posted 8 weeks ago
  4 jbolli
Yeah I love Biden too. Some commentator noted today that Biden, who loves to speak out about everything (to his detriment at times), has been mysteriously silent the past few weeks...
posted 8 weeks ago
  5 coolkraft
best choice...go joe...brilliant and a debater who would crush the opponents
posted 8 weeks ago
Joe is the Best choice Obama could possibly make.
posted 8 weeks ago
  7 cognos[Power User]
I really like Joe! Really do.
But doesn't that smack of the past. What about the 'change we can believe in' mantra?
Obama lovers will go wherever Obama leads them.
It's really a shame. Being a HRC supporter, I'm being told to open my eyes. Give Obama a chance.

Meet the new boss, same as the old boss. Flip-flop to get where you need to go, forget those who really helped you get there.

Except Obama speaks more eloquently.
posted 8 weeks ago
  8 jbolli
Nice Who reference Cog :)

You're right, Biden would undercut Obama's message of "change" greatly, but I still think it's a good move. He's undeniably a foreign policy expert, clearly Obama's weakest point, and would likely excoriate any Republican VP in the debate. I watched 90% of the Dems 5827 debates and thought he was the best of them all, with his limited time, on that platform. Would fill the traditional VP role of "attack dog" that Edwards failed so miserably at last time.

His Scranton background would help shore up Obama's problems with that demographic, and probably ensure the Dems win that critical state. Finally, he'd create much more excitement among the base than Bayh or Kaine could ever hope for. And I live in Virginia, the thinking here is that Kaine would do little to deliver the state. If VA were the only objective, Mark Warner would be the VP choice.

Biden's a pro and knows his shit. Smartest choice by a mile in my opinion.
posted 8 weeks ago
heh -- I've had predictions on both sides of this, off-and-on ofter the months.
I agree on the foreign policy "plus" ... but was concerned about his 'motor-mouth' ;-)
His age and long-service experience would also be a plus.
So... I'm back "in-on-Biden".
posted 8 weeks ago
  10 cognos[Power User]
If Obama is wise, he'll stay with the change mantra.
If that is the case, then we have to look beyond the beltway.
That leaves Governors, an assortment of former military types, maybe a mayor.

But from what I've been hearing, his choice is going to 'blow folks away'. Certainly that wouldn't include Joe.

Maybe Valerie Plume? ;)
posted 8 weeks ago
his choice is going to 'blow folks away'

Ooohh.... I can't wait! Who in the world could the Celebrity Lord Messiah, Barack Obama choose that would 'blow folks away'?!?!
posted 8 weeks ago
@f_o_f: I am guessing that this Celebrity you mention must come from the "windy city"!
posted 8 weeks ago
his choice is going to 'blow folks away'

What would blow me away is if he chose someone I wanted to vote for: Fred Thompson, Alan Keyes, J.D. Hayworth, etc. If he chose someone more conservative than John McCain I'd consider voting for him.

Putting myself in Obama's shoes though... who would he think would blow people away... I'm guessing Algore, Hillary, Paris Hilton... actually, I have no clue!

If he chooses someone that's at least 6% Arabic, there's a huge payday here:
http://www.hubdub.com/m13643/Will_the_DNC_ticket_be_two_Arab_guys
posted 8 weeks ago
  14 Erik
fingers, I'm with you...the two Arab guys!
posted 8 weeks ago
  15 jbolli
Off to Georgia tomorrow...interesting.
posted 8 weeks ago
  16 jbolli
Which choice would "blow people away", who would be the most surprising at this point? Let's have some fun with this, I'll start...

Bill Clinton?
posted 8 weeks ago
@jbolli - hahaha... nice one! I'm trying to imagine the look on Hillary's face!!!
posted 8 weeks ago
  18 destry[Admin]
Bill Clinton is not eligible. How about an Obama / Oprah ticket, that would blow people away.
posted 8 weeks ago
  19 cognos[Power User]
Is Governator Schwartznegger eligible for the VP slot?
posted 8 weeks ago
  20 destry[Admin]
NO. The VP must be able to fill the role of president. That is why presidents who have served 8 years aren't eligible. The Govenor wasn't born in US so he is not able to be president either. I don't think he is even allowed to have a role in the Government that would be in line of succession.
posted 8 weeks ago
  21 jbolli
This question got me thinking, did some research, the question is a lot murkier than you might think.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/10/19/AR2006101901572.html
posted 8 weeks ago
  22 cognos[Power User]
Great article jbolli. Thanks for sharing.
posted 8 weeks ago
  23 jarrod
As a Delawarean, I'd like to see this too.
posted 8 weeks ago
  24 rbrog77
That was a great article, and it got me to thinking. If Bill were in Nancy Pelosi’s position he would have been elected to office, but not elected as president. If both the P and VP bought it, since he was not elected to the presidency, but would be allowed to serve again. It does specifically say “No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice.”

This is very interesting stuff.
posted 8 weeks ago

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