How many times will McCain mention "Bush" at the Republican Convention?
Settled as McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less
A variation of another question and the opposite of the question about Obama mentioning Bush. Barack should be pleased to refer to Bush, but McCain might not want to reference the current President that much.
He kinda wants to run away from Bush in his pursuit of the presidency. McCain will have to mention him sometime, after all, he is the current Republican President and party leader, but McCain also wants to stand on his own, away from the Bush record.
Settlement details:
Hubdub Category Editor has agreed to watch McCain's Keynote speech which is what this market refers to. Only "Bush" will count as a reference
How many times will McCain mention "Bush" at the Republican Convention?
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less
McCain mentions Bush 4-6 times
McCain mentions Bush 7-9 times
McCain mentions Bush 10-12times
McCain mentions Bush 13-15 times
McCain mentions Bush 16 times or more
Zoom out
Forecast history, %
Settled
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McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less |
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McCain mentions Bush 4-6 times |
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McCain mentions Bush 7-9 times |
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McCain mentions Bush 10-12times |
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McCain mentions Bush 13-15 times |
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McCain mentions Bush 16 times or more |
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Activity: H$4,527
Settled as
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less on Sat 6th Sep 12:21pm PDT
Suspend date: Wed 3rd Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 6th Sep 12:21pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 3rd Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less: 25%, McCain mentions Bush 4-6 times: 35%, McCain mentions Bush 7-9 times: 18%, McCain mentions Bush 10-12times : 12%, McCain mentions Bush 13-15 times: 7%, McCain mentions Bush 16 times or more: 3%
Action history:
Created Tue 10th Jun 11:02am PDT by
bayoubear
Suspended Wed 3rd Sep 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 5th Sep 7:34am PDT by
deelilley:
"George W. Bush, who happens to be president now -- and one of the least popular in history -- was not mentioned by name during the speech; he has been largely a nonentity in the world created by the convention organizers and participating speakers. McCain alluded to the fact that "some Republicans" gave in to "temptations" in recent times, but like much of the speech, this was vague and evasive."
http://tinyurl.com/67qlp9
Settlement requested Fri 5th Sep 7:54am PDT by
deelilley:
"In his acceptance speech shortly afterward, Mr. McCain thanked “the president,” without naming him, for leading the country “in those dark days” and for “keeping us safe from another attack.” But he made no further reference to Mr. Bush, and when it came to the improved security in Iraq over the last year, he credited “the leadership of a brilliant general, David Petraeus.”
http://tinyurl.com/6d6z4f
Where was the "None" category?
LOL
Settled as 'McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less' Sat 6th Sep 12:21pm PDT by
destry
Suspend date: Wed 3rd Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 6th Sep 12:21pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 3rd Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (50)
50 predictions
13 weeks ago
kiwi_dt predicted
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less (H$50 at 51%)
13 weeks ago
infernalmachine![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
predicted
McCain mentions Bush 7-9 times (H$100 at 11%)
13 weeks ago
infernalmachine![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
predicted
McCain mentions Bush 4-6 times (H$100 at 27%)
13 weeks ago
battis predicted
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less (H$50 at 53%)
13 weeks ago
pita_soup predicted
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less (H$50 at 52%)
more13 weeks ago
kiwi_dt predicted
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less (H$50 at 51%)
13 weeks ago
infernalmachine![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
predicted
McCain mentions Bush 7-9 times (H$100 at 11%)
13 weeks ago
infernalmachine![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
predicted
McCain mentions Bush 4-6 times (H$100 at 27%)
13 weeks ago
battis predicted
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less (H$50 at 53%)
13 weeks ago
pita_soup predicted
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less (H$50 at 52%)
13 weeks ago
kcwildguy predicted
McCain mentions Bush 7-9 times (H$20 at 11%)
13 weeks ago
scotty45 predicted
McCain mentions Bush 4-6 times (H$3 at 27%)
13 weeks ago
demijohn predicted
McCain mentions Bush 4-6 times (H$50 at 26%)
13 weeks ago
americube predicted
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less (H$20 at 52%)
13 weeks ago
braymo predicted
McCain mentions Bush 4-6 times (H$50 at 26%)
13 weeks ago
constantine predicted
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less (H$100 at 52%)
13 weeks ago
pauloabx predicted
McCain mentions Bush 7-9 times (H$50 at 10%)
13 weeks ago
constantine predicted
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less (H$50 at 52%)
13 weeks ago
smashedapples predicted
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less (H$100 at 51%)
13 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less (H$100 at 51%)
13 weeks ago
mattmig predicted
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less (H$100 at 50%)
13 weeks ago
zinthar predicted
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less (H$100 at 49%)
13 weeks ago
owlcreekobserver predicted
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less (H$50 at 48%)
13 weeks ago
avernon predicted
McCain mentions Bush 4-6 times (H$50 at 28%)
13 weeks ago
bods predicted
McCain mentions Bush 3 times or less (H$50 at 48%)
Showing 20 most recent public predictions only
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Comments (4)
For settlement, we'll be depending on mainstream news sources, so we'll actually be depending upon them to keep count for the most part...just like anything else...I guess if there are two conflicting reports, we'll take the one that has another in agreement or just average them...getting complicated here!
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